**Strong market consensus on a daily minimum of 12 °C or below for Munich on September 8 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official model runs indicate the temperature will bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages near 11 °C for the date and recent high-pressure setups favoring clear conditions. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because observed trends and ensemble guidance show limited moisture or cloud cover to retain heat. Resolution hinges on official station measurements meeting or falling below the 12 °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or thicker low-level cloud deck that raises the minimum several degrees above forecast guidance before the daily low is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мюнхене 8 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Мюнхене 8 сентября?
12°C или ниже 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$2,591 Объем
$2,591 Объем
8 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
Да
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C
Нет
20°C
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C или выше
Нет
12°C или ниже 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$2,591 Объем
$2,591 Объем
8 сент. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$337 Объем
Да
13°C
$257 Объем
Нет
14°C
$410 Объем
Нет
15°C
$497 Объем
Нет
16°C
$500 Объем
Нет
17°C
$57 Объем
Нет
18°C
$78 Объем
Нет
19°C
$186 Объем
Нет
20°C
$87 Объем
Нет
21°C
$91 Объем
Нет
22°C или выше
$91 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong market consensus on a daily minimum of 12 °C or below for Munich on September 8 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official model runs indicate the temperature will bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages near 11 °C for the date and recent high-pressure setups favoring clear conditions. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because observed trends and ensemble guidance show limited moisture or cloud cover to retain heat. Resolution hinges on official station measurements meeting or falling below the 12 °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or thicker low-level cloud deck that raises the minimum several degrees above forecast guidance before the daily low is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$2,591Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong market consensus on a daily minimum of 12 °C or below for Munich on September 8 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official model runs indicate the temperature will bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages near 11 °C for the date and recent high-pressure setups favoring clear conditions. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because observed trends and ensemble guidance show limited moisture or cloud cover to retain heat. Resolution hinges on official station measurements meeting or falling below the 12 °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or thicker low-level cloud deck that raises the minimum several degrees above forecast guidance before the daily low is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,591Дата окончания
8 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
**Strong market consensus on a daily minimum of 12 °C or below for Munich on September 8 reflects current numerical weather prediction consensus showing overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies.** Official model runs indicate the temperature will bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating, consistent with climatological averages near 11 °C for the date and recent high-pressure setups favoring clear conditions. Traders assign negligible probability to warmer outcomes because observed trends and ensemble guidance show limited moisture or cloud cover to retain heat. Resolution hinges on official station measurements meeting or falling below the 12 °C threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected warm-air advection or thicker low-level cloud deck that raises the minimum several degrees above forecast guidance before the daily low is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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