Recent observational data and forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources indicate Qingdao is under southeast winds of 3-4 levels with partly cloudy to overcast skies on September 18, 2026, supporting a daytime high near 25–26°C and limited overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance points to a minimum around 19–23°C, though persistent cloud cover and humidity near 70–85% could allow modest additional cooling if winds slacken. Trader consensus reflected in the 18°C and 17°C outcomes aligns with scenarios emphasizing stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer breaks or localized effects, while probabilities below 16°C remain lower due to the season’s climatological baseline and current steering patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Циндао 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Циндао 18 сентября?
17°C 82%
16°C или ниже 80%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$1,775 Объем
$1,775 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
80%
17°C
82%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
17°C 82%
16°C или ниже 80%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$1,775 Объем
$1,775 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$0 Объем
80%
17°C
$25 Объем
82%
18°C
$100 Объем
-
19°C
$177 Объем
<1%
20°C
$251 Объем
<1%
21°C
$1,032 Объем
<1%
22°C
$37 Объем
<1%
23°C
$42 Объем
<1%
24°C
$37 Объем
<1%
25°C
$37 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$37 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources indicate Qingdao is under southeast winds of 3-4 levels with partly cloudy to overcast skies on September 18, 2026, supporting a daytime high near 25–26°C and limited overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance points to a minimum around 19–23°C, though persistent cloud cover and humidity near 70–85% could allow modest additional cooling if winds slacken. Trader consensus reflected in the 18°C and 17°C outcomes aligns with scenarios emphasizing stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer breaks or localized effects, while probabilities below 16°C remain lower due to the season’s climatological baseline and current steering patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$1,775Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources indicate Qingdao is under southeast winds of 3-4 levels with partly cloudy to overcast skies on September 18, 2026, supporting a daytime high near 25–26°C and limited overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance points to a minimum around 19–23°C, though persistent cloud cover and humidity near 70–85% could allow modest additional cooling if winds slacken. Trader consensus reflected in the 18°C and 17°C outcomes aligns with scenarios emphasizing stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer breaks or localized effects, while probabilities below 16°C remain lower due to the season’s climatological baseline and current steering patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,775Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources indicate Qingdao is under southeast winds of 3-4 levels with partly cloudy to overcast skies on September 18, 2026, supporting a daytime high near 25–26°C and limited overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance points to a minimum around 19–23°C, though persistent cloud cover and humidity near 70–85% could allow modest additional cooling if winds slacken. Trader consensus reflected in the 18°C and 17°C outcomes aligns with scenarios emphasizing stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer breaks or localized effects, while probabilities below 16°C remain lower due to the season’s climatological baseline and current steering patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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