Official observations from São Paulo weather stations recorded a minimum air temperature of 14°C overnight on August 25, 2026, matching the consensus of numerical weather models and the month's climatological average low near 12–14°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. High pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies limited radiational cooling while preventing stronger cold advection, keeping the reading within the narrow band expected for the date. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 14°C reflects this alignment of real-time data and historical precedent, with only remote scenarios such as a late model revision, station-specific microclimate anomaly, or measurement adjustment able to shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 25 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 25 августа?
14°C 100.0%
9°C или ниже <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$11,786 Объем
$11,786 Объем
25 авг. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Да
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C
Нет
18°C
Нет
19°C или выше
Нет
14°C 100.0%
9°C или ниже <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$11,786 Объем
$11,786 Объем
25 авг. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$436 Объем
Нет
10°C
$251 Объем
Нет
11°C
$99 Объем
Нет
12°C
$387 Объем
Нет
13°C
$108 Объем
Нет
14°C
$270 Объем
Да
15°C
$4,071 Объем
Нет
16°C
$3,199 Объем
Нет
17°C
$2,275 Объем
Нет
18°C
$480 Объем
Нет
19°C или выше
$210 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from São Paulo weather stations recorded a minimum air temperature of 14°C overnight on August 25, 2026, matching the consensus of numerical weather models and the month's climatological average low near 12–14°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. High pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies limited radiational cooling while preventing stronger cold advection, keeping the reading within the narrow band expected for the date. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 14°C reflects this alignment of real-time data and historical precedent, with only remote scenarios such as a late model revision, station-specific microclimate anomaly, or measurement adjustment able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Объем
$11,786Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from São Paulo weather stations recorded a minimum air temperature of 14°C overnight on August 25, 2026, matching the consensus of numerical weather models and the month's climatological average low near 12–14°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. High pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies limited radiational cooling while preventing stronger cold advection, keeping the reading within the narrow band expected for the date. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 14°C reflects this alignment of real-time data and historical precedent, with only remote scenarios such as a late model revision, station-specific microclimate anomaly, or measurement adjustment able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,786Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 9:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official observations from São Paulo weather stations recorded a minimum air temperature of 14°C overnight on August 25, 2026, matching the consensus of numerical weather models and the month's climatological average low near 12–14°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. High pressure, light winds, and clear-to-partly cloudy skies limited radiational cooling while preventing stronger cold advection, keeping the reading within the narrow band expected for the date. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 14°C reflects this alignment of real-time data and historical precedent, with only remote scenarios such as a late model revision, station-specific microclimate anomaly, or measurement adjustment able to shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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