Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on May 24?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 24?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$21,155 Объем
$21,155 Объем
24 мая 2026 г.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$21,155 Объем
$21,155 Объем
24 мая 2026 г.
11°C or below
$952 Объем
No
12°C
$716 Объем
No
13°C
$2,299 Объем
No
14°C
$4,388 Объем
No
15°C
$4,961 Объем
Yes
16°C
$1,776 Объем
No
17°C
$1,166 Объем
No
18°C
$1,101 Объем
No
19°C
$890 Объем
No
20°C
$1,613 Объем
No
21°C or higher
$1,293 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Объем
$21,155Дата окончания
24 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$21,155Дата окончания
24 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 20, 2026, 12:40 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models converge on an overnight low near 15°C for Seoul on May 24, with minimal spread across ensembles and no significant late-day cooling expected. This consensus, grounded in observed surface temperatures, humidity trends, and stable high-pressure patterns, underpins the market’s near-100% implied probability for that outcome. Historical May lows in the region typically range 12–14°C, but today’s conditions align closely with the higher end of recent model guidance. Only an unforeseen localized drop below official station thresholds or a last-hour model revision could realistically alter resolution, though such shifts remain highly improbable given the data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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