Clear skies and light northerly to northeasterly winds under a dominant high-pressure system are driving radiative cooling overnight across the Seoul-Incheon region, positioning the minimum temperature near 18–19 °C on September 21. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on lows of 17–20 °C, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread and no incoming frontal systems or increased cloud cover to moderate the decline. This stable autumn pattern, typical for the third week of September when climatological overnight minima average 18–19 °C, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 19 °C (48 % implied) and adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs through September 20 have reinforced this narrow range, with traders incorporating the absence of recent precipitation or wind shifts that could alter boundary-layer mixing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 21 сентября?
19°C 48%
18°C 25%
20°C 21%
21°C 20%
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
6%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C
25%
19°C
48%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C или выше
<1%
19°C 48%
18°C 25%
20°C 21%
21°C 20%
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
6%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C
25%
19°C
48%
20°C
21%
21°C
20%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light northerly to northeasterly winds under a dominant high-pressure system are driving radiative cooling overnight across the Seoul-Incheon region, positioning the minimum temperature near 18–19 °C on September 21. Official forecasts from multiple sources converge on lows of 17–20 °C, with ensemble guidance showing limited spread and no incoming frontal systems or increased cloud cover to moderate the decline. This stable autumn pattern, typical for the third week of September when climatological overnight minima average 18–19 °C, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 19 °C (48 % implied) and adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs through September 20 have reinforced this narrow range, with traders incorporating the absence of recent precipitation or wind shifts that could alter boundary-layer mixing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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