**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and aligned international models indicate a minimum temperature of 19°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 20, 2026, under clear skies and a stable high-pressure system.** This consensus, reflected in the market's 98% implied probability for 19°C, stems from observed conditions including light northwest winds, low humidity overnight, and daytime highs near 28–29°C that allow efficient radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. Historical September climatology supports typical lows in the 18–20°C range for the region, with current model runs showing minimal spread. Resolution will depend on verified overnight observations from official stations; only a notable shift in steering patterns or unexpected moisture could realistically push readings outside the narrow 18–20°C window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 20 сентября?
19°C 98%
18°C 2%
17°C <1%
12°C или ниже <1%
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
98%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
19°C 98%
18°C 2%
17°C <1%
12°C или ниже <1%
12°C или ниже
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
98%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and aligned international models indicate a minimum temperature of 19°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 20, 2026, under clear skies and a stable high-pressure system.** This consensus, reflected in the market's 98% implied probability for 19°C, stems from observed conditions including light northwest winds, low humidity overnight, and daytime highs near 28–29°C that allow efficient radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. Historical September climatology supports typical lows in the 18–20°C range for the region, with current model runs showing minimal spread. Resolution will depend on verified overnight observations from official stations; only a notable shift in steering patterns or unexpected moisture could realistically push readings outside the narrow 18–20°C window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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