**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Korean Peninsula have produced a consistent forecast minimum of 16°C at Incheon International Airport (the official measurement site for Seoul-area temperatures) on September 16, 2026.** Official Korean Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple model runs show overnight lows settling near this level under mostly clear skies with light easterly winds, typical for mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach 26–28°C before radiative cooling overnight. The market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability on 16°C reflects this strong model consensus and absence of any disruptive weather systems, such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover that could raise the minimum. Realistic challenges remain limited but include a last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected stratus that could hold temperatures 1–2°C higher, or an unforecasted brief clearing that allows slightly deeper cooling. With the overnight period largely complete and no major shifts in guidance, trader positioning aligns closely with the authoritative forecast data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 16 сентября?
16°C 98%
15°C 2%
12°C 1.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
НОВОЕ
$12,168 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,168 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C или выше
<1%
16°C 98%
15°C 2%
12°C 1.0%
11°C или ниже <1%
НОВОЕ
$12,168 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,168 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$141 Объем
1%
12°C
$151 Объем
1%
13°C
$91 Объем
1%
14°C
$144 Объем
1%
15°C
$2,115 Объем
2%
16°C
$2,814 Объем
98%
17°C
$2,992 Объем
<1%
18°C
$1,272 Объем
<1%
19°C
$1,059 Объем
<1%
20°C
$132 Объем
<1%
21°C или выше
$1,257 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Korean Peninsula have produced a consistent forecast minimum of 16°C at Incheon International Airport (the official measurement site for Seoul-area temperatures) on September 16, 2026.**
Official Korean Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple model runs show overnight lows settling near this level under mostly clear skies with light easterly winds, typical for mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach 26–28°C before radiative cooling overnight. The market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability on 16°C reflects this strong model consensus and absence of any disruptive weather systems, such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover that could raise the minimum.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include a last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected stratus that could hold temperatures 1–2°C higher, or an unforecasted brief clearing that allows slightly deeper cooling. With the overnight period largely complete and no major shifts in guidance, trader positioning aligns closely with the authoritative forecast data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$12,168Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Korean Peninsula have produced a consistent forecast minimum of 16°C at Incheon International Airport (the official measurement site for Seoul-area temperatures) on September 16, 2026.**
Official Korean Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple model runs show overnight lows settling near this level under mostly clear skies with light easterly winds, typical for mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach 26–28°C before radiative cooling overnight. The market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability on 16°C reflects this strong model consensus and absence of any disruptive weather systems, such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover that could raise the minimum.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include a last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected stratus that could hold temperatures 1–2°C higher, or an unforecasted brief clearing that allows slightly deeper cooling. With the overnight period largely complete and no major shifts in guidance, trader positioning aligns closely with the authoritative forecast data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12,168Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Korean Peninsula have produced a consistent forecast minimum of 16°C at Incheon International Airport (the official measurement site for Seoul-area temperatures) on September 16, 2026.** Official Korean Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple model runs show overnight lows settling near this level under mostly clear skies with light easterly winds, typical for mid-September climatology when daytime highs reach 26–28°C before radiative cooling overnight. The market’s overwhelming 98% implied probability on 16°C reflects this strong model consensus and absence of any disruptive weather systems, such as frontal passages or increased cloud cover that could raise the minimum. Realistic challenges remain limited but include a last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected stratus that could hold temperatures 1–2°C higher, or an unforecasted brief clearing that allows slightly deeper cooling. With the overnight period largely complete and no major shifts in guidance, trader positioning aligns closely with the authoritative forecast data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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