**Forecast model consensus points to a Shenzhen minimum temperature near 25–26°C on September 24, with limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** Official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple numerical weather prediction runs indicate multi-cloud to overcast conditions with possible localized showers, which moderate nighttime temperature drops compared to clear-sky scenarios. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31°C and dew points around 24°C, supporting minimums in the mid-20s rather than extremes. The closely matched market probabilities reflect genuine short-term uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover and any brief rain that could alter the temperature trajectory. Updated model outputs and local station data expected overnight will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 24 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 24 сентября?
26°C 44%
27°C 44%
31°C или выше 44%
21°C или ниже 43%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
43%
22°C
8%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
39%
26°C
36%
27°C
28%
28°C
8%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C или выше
44%
26°C 44%
27°C 44%
31°C или выше 44%
21°C или ниже 43%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$0 Объем
43%
22°C
$0 Объем
8%
23°C
$0 Объем
36%
24°C
$0 Объем
36%
25°C
$0 Объем
39%
26°C
$7 Объем
36%
27°C
$12 Объем
28%
28°C
$0 Объем
8%
29°C
$0 Объем
9%
30°C
$0 Объем
9%
31°C или выше
$0 Объем
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus points to a Shenzhen minimum temperature near 25–26°C on September 24, with limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** Official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple numerical weather prediction runs indicate multi-cloud to overcast conditions with possible localized showers, which moderate nighttime temperature drops compared to clear-sky scenarios. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31°C and dew points around 24°C, supporting minimums in the mid-20s rather than extremes. The closely matched market probabilities reflect genuine short-term uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover and any brief rain that could alter the temperature trajectory. Updated model outputs and local station data expected overnight will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$20Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus points to a Shenzhen minimum temperature near 25–26°C on September 24, with limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** Official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple numerical weather prediction runs indicate multi-cloud to overcast conditions with possible localized showers, which moderate nighttime temperature drops compared to clear-sky scenarios. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31°C and dew points around 24°C, supporting minimums in the mid-20s rather than extremes. The closely matched market probabilities reflect genuine short-term uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover and any brief rain that could alter the temperature trajectory. Updated model outputs and local station data expected overnight will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$20Дата окончания
24 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model consensus points to a Shenzhen minimum temperature near 25–26°C on September 24, with limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** Official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and multiple numerical weather prediction runs indicate multi-cloud to overcast conditions with possible localized showers, which moderate nighttime temperature drops compared to clear-sky scenarios. Recent observations show daytime highs near 31°C and dew points around 24°C, supporting minimums in the mid-20s rather than extremes. The closely matched market probabilities reflect genuine short-term uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover and any brief rain that could alter the temperature trajectory. Updated model outputs and local station data expected overnight will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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