Traders see the lowest temperature in Taipei on August 24 clustering near 26–27°C because official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models project overnight lows in that range amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Afternoon thundershowers and high humidity moderate daytime peaks around 32°C while limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the minimum sensitive to exact timing of cloud cover and any onshore flow. With probabilities tightly distributed from 23°C to 28°C, market pricing reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention rather than a single dominant driver; updated runs from NOAA or CWA within the next 24 hours could narrow resolution criteria around the daily minimum threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Тайбэе 24 августа?
22°C 46%
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
24°C 26%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
46%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
25%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
14%
22°C 46%
27°C 30%
26°C 28%
24°C 26%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
46%
23°C
25%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
30%
28°C
25%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the lowest temperature in Taipei on August 24 clustering near 26–27°C because official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models project overnight lows in that range amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Afternoon thundershowers and high humidity moderate daytime peaks around 32°C while limiting nighttime radiative cooling, keeping the minimum sensitive to exact timing of cloud cover and any onshore flow. With probabilities tightly distributed from 23°C to 28°C, market pricing reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention rather than a single dominant driver; updated runs from NOAA or CWA within the next 24 hours could narrow resolution criteria around the daily minimum threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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