Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to clearing skies on September 22 after heavy rainfall earlier in the week, positioning 23–24°C as the most probable minimum temperature range and explaining the 47% and 31.5% market-implied probabilities. Post-frontal northerly flow and moderate humidity levels around 60–80% support these values, consistent with late-September climatology near 19–21°C but tempered by residual cloud cover limiting further drops. Shorter-range updates showing lighter winds and partial clearing have reinforced trader focus on the 23–24°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from Tokyo stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 22 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Токио 22 сентября?
24°C 47%
23°C 31%
21°C 9%
22°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
9%
22°C
9%
23°C
31%
24°C
47%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C или выше
2%
24°C 47%
23°C 31%
21°C 9%
22°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
19°C
$86 Объем
3%
20°C
$66 Объем
5%
21°C
$66 Объем
9%
22°C
$151 Объем
9%
23°C
$605 Объем
31%
24°C
$357 Объем
47%
25°C
$271 Объем
5%
26°C
$0 Объем
2%
27°C
$0 Объем
2%
28°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to clearing skies on September 22 after heavy rainfall earlier in the week, positioning 23–24°C as the most probable minimum temperature range and explaining the 47% and 31.5% market-implied probabilities. Post-frontal northerly flow and moderate humidity levels around 60–80% support these values, consistent with late-September climatology near 19–21°C but tempered by residual cloud cover limiting further drops. Shorter-range updates showing lighter winds and partial clearing have reinforced trader focus on the 23–24°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from Tokyo stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$1,600Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to clearing skies on September 22 after heavy rainfall earlier in the week, positioning 23–24°C as the most probable minimum temperature range and explaining the 47% and 31.5% market-implied probabilities. Post-frontal northerly flow and moderate humidity levels around 60–80% support these values, consistent with late-September climatology near 19–21°C but tempered by residual cloud cover limiting further drops. Shorter-range updates showing lighter winds and partial clearing have reinforced trader focus on the 23–24°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from Tokyo stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,600Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to clearing skies on September 22 after heavy rainfall earlier in the week, positioning 23–24°C as the most probable minimum temperature range and explaining the 47% and 31.5% market-implied probabilities. Post-frontal northerly flow and moderate humidity levels around 60–80% support these values, consistent with late-September climatology near 19–21°C but tempered by residual cloud cover limiting further drops. Shorter-range updates showing lighter winds and partial clearing have reinforced trader focus on the 23–24°C outcomes ahead of final observational data from Tokyo stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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