Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and local Polish sources, indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C overnight into September 16 in Warsaw under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high humidity favoring radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and recent stable high-pressure conditions limiting advection of warmer air. Model consensus shows limited overnight drop potential below 11–12°C, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning remains closely split near the 10–11°C thresholds, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing of the daily minimum and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs and morning observations will clarify any last adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 16 сентября?
6°C или ниже 98%
10°C 50%
11°C 50%
8°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
98%
7°C
10%
8°C
16%
9°C
6%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C или выше
<1%
6°C или ниже 98%
10°C 50%
11°C 50%
8°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
$0 Объем
98%
7°C
$87 Объем
10%
8°C
$213 Объем
16%
9°C
$5 Объем
6%
10°C
$10 Объем
50%
11°C
$0 Объем
50%
12°C
$226 Объем
<1%
13°C
$46 Объем
<1%
14°C
$72 Объем
<1%
15°C
$21 Объем
<1%
16°C или выше
$16 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and local Polish sources, indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C overnight into September 16 in Warsaw under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high humidity favoring radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and recent stable high-pressure conditions limiting advection of warmer air. Model consensus shows limited overnight drop potential below 11–12°C, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning remains closely split near the 10–11°C thresholds, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing of the daily minimum and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs and morning observations will clarify any last adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$697Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and local Polish sources, indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C overnight into September 16 in Warsaw under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high humidity favoring radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and recent stable high-pressure conditions limiting advection of warmer air. Model consensus shows limited overnight drop potential below 11–12°C, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning remains closely split near the 10–11°C thresholds, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing of the daily minimum and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs and morning observations will clarify any last adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$697Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and local Polish sources, indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C overnight into September 16 in Warsaw under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and high humidity favoring radiative cooling. This aligns with seasonal norms for mid-September and recent stable high-pressure conditions limiting advection of warmer air. Model consensus shows limited overnight drop potential below 11–12°C, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader positioning remains closely split near the 10–11°C thresholds, reflecting uncertainty in precise timing of the daily minimum and resolution criteria tied to official station readings. Updated model runs and morning observations will clarify any last adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы