Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 9–12°C, with the precise minimum hinging on radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and light westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. High humidity near 90% and scattered showers limit surface cooling compared to clear conditions, while dew points around 9–10°C support a floor near the seasonal average minimum of 10°C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 10°C and 11°C reflects model spread on timing of any clearing and wind-driven mixing before dawn, with lower outcomes priced for potential under-forecast cooling if skies clear more than expected. Updated observations through the night will resolve remaining uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 21 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 21 сентября?
9°C 100%
6°C или ниже 90%
11°C 50%
7°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
90%
7°C
17%
8°C
13%
9°C
100%
10°C
50%
11°C
50%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C или выше
<1%
9°C 100%
6°C или ниже 90%
11°C 50%
7°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
$0 Объем
90%
7°C
$0 Объем
17%
8°C
$0 Объем
13%
9°C
$0 Объем
100%
10°C
$13 Объем
50%
11°C
$0 Объем
50%
12°C
$25 Объем
<1%
13°C
$225 Объем
<1%
14°C
$15 Объем
<1%
15°C
$15 Объем
<1%
16°C или выше
$15 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 9–12°C, with the precise minimum hinging on radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and light westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. High humidity near 90% and scattered showers limit surface cooling compared to clear conditions, while dew points around 9–10°C support a floor near the seasonal average minimum of 10°C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 10°C and 11°C reflects model spread on timing of any clearing and wind-driven mixing before dawn, with lower outcomes priced for potential under-forecast cooling if skies clear more than expected. Updated observations through the night will resolve remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$308Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 9–12°C, with the precise minimum hinging on radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and light westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. High humidity near 90% and scattered showers limit surface cooling compared to clear conditions, while dew points around 9–10°C support a floor near the seasonal average minimum of 10°C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 10°C and 11°C reflects model spread on timing of any clearing and wind-driven mixing before dawn, with lower outcomes priced for potential under-forecast cooling if skies clear more than expected. Updated observations through the night will resolve remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$308Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 9–12°C, with the precise minimum hinging on radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and light westerly winds of 15–25 km/h. High humidity near 90% and scattered showers limit surface cooling compared to clear conditions, while dew points around 9–10°C support a floor near the seasonal average minimum of 10°C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 10°C and 11°C reflects model spread on timing of any clearing and wind-driven mixing before dawn, with lower outcomes priced for potential under-forecast cooling if skies clear more than expected. Updated observations through the night will resolve remaining uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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