Forecast models for Wellington show overnight lows centered around 7–9°C under a ridge of high pressure, with northerly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the daily minimum, as small shifts in timing of cloud arrival or wind strength can push the reading several degrees either way. Historical September minima average near 9–10°C, yet current guidance from agencies like MetService and international ensembles diverges on whether clear spells overnight allow a dip toward 4–6°C or keep readings closer to 8–10°C. Traders weigh these variables heavily ahead of the next model runs and any late adjustments to the steering pattern.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 25 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 25 сентября?
14°C или выше 89%
4°C или ниже 88%
8°C 43%
6°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
88%
5°C
18%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
43%
9°C
29%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
11%
13°C
11%
14°C или выше
89%
14°C или выше 89%
4°C или ниже 88%
8°C 43%
6°C 40%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
4°C или ниже
$0 Объем
88%
5°C
$0 Объем
18%
6°C
$0 Объем
40%
7°C
$0 Объем
40%
8°C
$37 Объем
43%
9°C
$6 Объем
29%
10°C
$0 Объем
39%
11°C
$0 Объем
39%
12°C
$0 Объем
11%
13°C
$0 Объем
11%
14°C или выше
$0 Объем
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Wellington show overnight lows centered around 7–9°C under a ridge of high pressure, with northerly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the daily minimum, as small shifts in timing of cloud arrival or wind strength can push the reading several degrees either way. Historical September minima average near 9–10°C, yet current guidance from agencies like MetService and international ensembles diverges on whether clear spells overnight allow a dip toward 4–6°C or keep readings closer to 8–10°C. Traders weigh these variables heavily ahead of the next model runs and any late adjustments to the steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$43Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Wellington show overnight lows centered around 7–9°C under a ridge of high pressure, with northerly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the daily minimum, as small shifts in timing of cloud arrival or wind strength can push the reading several degrees either way. Historical September minima average near 9–10°C, yet current guidance from agencies like MetService and international ensembles diverges on whether clear spells overnight allow a dip toward 4–6°C or keep readings closer to 8–10°C. Traders weigh these variables heavily ahead of the next model runs and any late adjustments to the steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$43Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Forecast models for Wellington show overnight lows centered around 7–9°C under a ridge of high pressure, with northerly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the daily minimum, as small shifts in timing of cloud arrival or wind strength can push the reading several degrees either way. Historical September minima average near 9–10°C, yet current guidance from agencies like MetService and international ensembles diverges on whether clear spells overnight allow a dip toward 4–6°C or keep readings closer to 8–10°C. Traders weigh these variables heavily ahead of the next model runs and any late adjustments to the steering pattern.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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