Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including MetService and ACCESS-G indicate a daytime high in Wellington on September 25, 2026, most likely between 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds. This aligns with the late-September climatological average high of approximately 13–14°C and positions the 15°C outcome as the market leader at 50% implied probability, followed closely by 13°C and 14°C. Model consensus currently shows limited spread, with minimal risk of significant warming from subtropical flow or cooling from a southerly change before the date. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs heavily, as small shifts in timing of any frontal passage or wind direction could adjust the peak by 1–2°C within the resolution windows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 сентября?
15°C 58%
12°C 29%
14°C 26%
16°C 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
4%
12°C
29%
13°C
7%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
22%
17°C
17%
18°C
5%
19°C или выше
<1%
15°C 58%
12°C 29%
14°C 26%
16°C 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$22 Объем
<1%
10°C
$0 Объем
4%
11°C
$0 Объем
4%
12°C
$0 Объем
29%
13°C
$5 Объем
7%
14°C
$6 Объем
26%
15°C
$78 Объем
50%
16°C
$0 Объем
22%
17°C
$0 Объем
17%
18°C
$0 Объем
5%
19°C или выше
$0 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including MetService and ACCESS-G indicate a daytime high in Wellington on September 25, 2026, most likely between 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds. This aligns with the late-September climatological average high of approximately 13–14°C and positions the 15°C outcome as the market leader at 50% implied probability, followed closely by 13°C and 14°C. Model consensus currently shows limited spread, with minimal risk of significant warming from subtropical flow or cooling from a southerly change before the date. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs heavily, as small shifts in timing of any frontal passage or wind direction could adjust the peak by 1–2°C within the resolution windows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$110Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including MetService and ACCESS-G indicate a daytime high in Wellington on September 25, 2026, most likely between 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds. This aligns with the late-September climatological average high of approximately 13–14°C and positions the 15°C outcome as the market leader at 50% implied probability, followed closely by 13°C and 14°C. Model consensus currently shows limited spread, with minimal risk of significant warming from subtropical flow or cooling from a southerly change before the date. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs heavily, as small shifts in timing of any frontal passage or wind direction could adjust the peak by 1–2°C within the resolution windows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$110Дата окончания
25 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including MetService and ACCESS-G indicate a daytime high in Wellington on September 25, 2026, most likely between 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds. This aligns with the late-September climatological average high of approximately 13–14°C and positions the 15°C outcome as the market leader at 50% implied probability, followed closely by 13°C and 14°C. Model consensus currently shows limited spread, with minimal risk of significant warming from subtropical flow or cooling from a southerly change before the date. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs heavily, as small shifts in timing of any frontal passage or wind direction could adjust the peak by 1–2°C within the resolution windows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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