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icon for Самая низкая температура в Ухане 21 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Ухане 21 августа?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Ухане 21 августа?

Самая низкая температура в Ухане 21 августа?

24°C 62%

25°C 34%

23°C 22%

22°C или ниже <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

24°C 62%

25°C 34%

23°C 22%

22°C или ниже <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

22°C или ниже

$177 Объем

1%

23°C

$144 Объем

22%

24°C

$124 Объем

62%

25°C

$1 Объем

34%

26°C

$21 Объем

58%

27°C

$153 Объем

<1%

28°C

$205 Объем

<1%

29°C

$25 Объем

<1%

30°C

$95 Объем

<1%

31°C

$95 Объем

<1%

32°C или выше

$95 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity are keeping Wuhan's overnight lows elevated around 26–27°C on August 21, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, local meteorological updates, and numerical models consistently project a daily minimum near 27°C (with some runs at 26.5–28°C), driven by warm, moist air masses typical of late-summer conditions in central China. Limited cloud cover overnight allows some radiative cooling, but elevated dew points near 26–28°C suppress the drop, preventing temperatures from falling into the mid-20s or lower. Recent days have shown similar patterns with no incoming cold fronts or significant rainfall to enhance cooling, reinforcing the narrow range around 26–27°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 26°C (57% implied) and 25°C (34%), aligns with this consensus forecast and historical August climatology for the region, where lows rarely dip below 25°C without a major weather shift. Any late-day model revisions or official station readings deviating from the 26–27°C band could adjust probabilities, though current data show high stability.

This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,136
Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity are keeping Wuhan's overnight lows elevated around 26–27°C on August 21, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, local meteorological updates, and numerical models consistently project a daily minimum near 27°C (with some runs at 26.5–28°C), driven by warm, moist air masses typical of late-summer conditions in central China. Limited cloud cover overnight allows some radiative cooling, but elevated dew points near 26–28°C suppress the drop, preventing temperatures from falling into the mid-20s or lower. Recent days have shown similar patterns with no incoming cold fronts or significant rainfall to enhance cooling, reinforcing the narrow range around 26–27°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 26°C (57% implied) and 25°C (34%), aligns with this consensus forecast and historical August climatology for the region, where lows rarely dip below 25°C without a major weather shift. Any late-day model revisions or official station readings deviating from the 26–27°C band could adjust probabilities, though current data show high stability.

This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,136
Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Ухане 21 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «26°C» с 58%, за ним следует «25°C» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 58¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 58%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Ухане 21 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 20, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Ухане 21 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Ухане 21 августа?» — «26°C» с 58%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 58%. Следующий ближайший исход — «25°C» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Ухане 21 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.