**Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity are keeping Wuhan's overnight lows elevated around 26–27°C on August 21, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, local meteorological updates, and numerical models consistently project a daily minimum near 27°C (with some runs at 26.5–28°C), driven by warm, moist air masses typical of late-summer conditions in central China. Limited cloud cover overnight allows some radiative cooling, but elevated dew points near 26–28°C suppress the drop, preventing temperatures from falling into the mid-20s or lower. Recent days have shown similar patterns with no incoming cold fronts or significant rainfall to enhance cooling, reinforcing the narrow range around 26–27°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 26°C (57% implied) and 25°C (34%), aligns with this consensus forecast and historical August climatology for the region, where lows rarely dip below 25°C without a major weather shift. Any late-day model revisions or official station readings deviating from the 26–27°C band could adjust probabilities, though current data show high stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 21 августа?
24°C 62%
25°C 34%
23°C 22%
22°C или ниже <1%
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
22%
24°C
62%
25°C
34%
26°C
58%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
24°C 62%
25°C 34%
23°C 22%
22°C или ниже <1%
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
22%
24°C
62%
25°C
34%
26°C
58%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent subtropical high pressure and high humidity are keeping Wuhan's overnight lows elevated around 26–27°C on August 21, 2026.** Official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, local meteorological updates, and numerical models consistently project a daily minimum near 27°C (with some runs at 26.5–28°C), driven by warm, moist air masses typical of late-summer conditions in central China. Limited cloud cover overnight allows some radiative cooling, but elevated dew points near 26–28°C suppress the drop, preventing temperatures from falling into the mid-20s or lower. Recent days have shown similar patterns with no incoming cold fronts or significant rainfall to enhance cooling, reinforcing the narrow range around 26–27°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in the heavy weighting toward 26°C (57% implied) and 25°C (34%), aligns with this consensus forecast and historical August climatology for the region, where lows rarely dip below 25°C without a major weather shift. Any late-day model revisions or official station readings deviating from the 26–27°C band could adjust probabilities, though current data show high stability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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