Recent forecasts for Wuhan show moderating temperatures on September 1 due to outer circulation from typhoon activity, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 23–25°C amid cloudy skies and scattered rain. Numerical weather models exhibit notable spread in minimum temperatures, driven by variations in cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer moisture that can enhance radiative cooling or suppress it. This uncertainty underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–23°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against historical September baselines near 23°C while monitoring updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the 48-hour resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 1 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Ухане 1 сентября?
18°C or below 53%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
24°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
18°C or below
53%
19°C
47%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
18°C or below 53%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
24°C 49%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
18°C or below
$0 Объем
53%
19°C
$0 Объем
47%
20°C
$0 Объем
49%
21°C
$0 Объем
49%
22°C
$0 Объем
26%
23°C
$0 Объем
26%
24°C
$0 Объем
49%
25°C
$0 Объем
49%
26°C
$0 Объем
2%
27°C
$0 Объем
1%
28°C or higher
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan show moderating temperatures on September 1 due to outer circulation from typhoon activity, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 23–25°C amid cloudy skies and scattered rain. Numerical weather models exhibit notable spread in minimum temperatures, driven by variations in cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer moisture that can enhance radiative cooling or suppress it. This uncertainty underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–23°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against historical September baselines near 23°C while monitoring updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the 48-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan show moderating temperatures on September 1 due to outer circulation from typhoon activity, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 23–25°C amid cloudy skies and scattered rain. Numerical weather models exhibit notable spread in minimum temperatures, driven by variations in cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer moisture that can enhance radiative cooling or suppress it. This uncertainty underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–23°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against historical September baselines near 23°C while monitoring updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the 48-hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan show moderating temperatures on September 1 due to outer circulation from typhoon activity, with official guidance pointing to overnight lows near 23–25°C amid cloudy skies and scattered rain. Numerical weather models exhibit notable spread in minimum temperatures, driven by variations in cloud cover, wind patterns, and boundary-layer moisture that can enhance radiative cooling or suppress it. This uncertainty underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–23°C outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consensus against historical September baselines near 23°C while monitoring updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration ahead of the 48-hour resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы