Recent numerical weather models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies with light northerly winds and moderate humidity, supporting a lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 13 near 22–24°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–21°C, reflecting uncertainty in local urban heat island effects, precise dew point evolution, and minor model spread in minimum temperature forecasts. Historical September baselines for the region show typical overnight lows in the low 20s°C, but clear conditions could allow slightly greater cooling if winds remain calm. Updated model runs and real-time observations overnight will refine resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 13 сентября?
15°C или ниже 63%
25°C или выше 48%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
15°C или ниже
63%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C
27%
20°C
32%
21°C
26%
22°C
21%
23°C
12%
24°C
37%
25°C или выше
48%
15°C или ниже 63%
25°C или выше 48%
16°C 37%
17°C 37%
15°C или ниже
63%
16°C
37%
17°C
37%
18°C
37%
19°C
27%
20°C
32%
21°C
26%
22°C
21%
23°C
12%
24°C
37%
25°C или выше
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies with light northerly winds and moderate humidity, supporting a lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 13 near 22–24°C. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 19–21°C, reflecting uncertainty in local urban heat island effects, precise dew point evolution, and minor model spread in minimum temperature forecasts. Historical September baselines for the region show typical overnight lows in the low 20s°C, but clear conditions could allow slightly greater cooling if winds remain calm. Updated model runs and real-time observations overnight will refine resolution criteria for this single-day temperature market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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