Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services project Wuhan's overnight low near 21–22 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity around 45–60 %, conditions that promote radiative cooling yet limit further drops. Trader consensus reflected in the market—18 °C leading at 53 % implied probability while 14–17 °C options sit near 47 %—captures remaining uncertainty in exact minimum readings, possible local station variations, and model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for Wuhan centers on lows near 20 °C, providing context for why small shifts in cloud cover or wind could differentiate resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration observations tonight will likely tighten these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 12 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Ухане 12 сентября?
15°C 93%
14°C или ниже 91%
16°C 91%
17°C 91%
$2,752 Объем
$2,752 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
91%
15°C
93%
16°C
91%
17°C
91%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
15°C 93%
14°C или ниже 91%
16°C 91%
17°C 91%
$2,752 Объем
$2,752 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$0 Объем
91%
15°C
$0 Объем
93%
16°C
$0 Объем
91%
17°C
$39 Объем
91%
18°C
$206 Объем
-
19°C
$227 Объем
<1%
20°C
$171 Объем
<1%
21°C
$28 Объем
<1%
22°C
$382 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,674 Объем
<1%
24°C или выше
$25 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services project Wuhan's overnight low near 21–22 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity around 45–60 %, conditions that promote radiative cooling yet limit further drops. Trader consensus reflected in the market—18 °C leading at 53 % implied probability while 14–17 °C options sit near 47 %—captures remaining uncertainty in exact minimum readings, possible local station variations, and model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for Wuhan centers on lows near 20 °C, providing context for why small shifts in cloud cover or wind could differentiate resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration observations tonight will likely tighten these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,752Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services project Wuhan's overnight low near 21–22 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity around 45–60 %, conditions that promote radiative cooling yet limit further drops. Trader consensus reflected in the market—18 °C leading at 53 % implied probability while 14–17 °C options sit near 47 %—captures remaining uncertainty in exact minimum readings, possible local station variations, and model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for Wuhan centers on lows near 20 °C, providing context for why small shifts in cloud cover or wind could differentiate resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration observations tonight will likely tighten these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,752Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological services project Wuhan's overnight low near 21–22 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and moderate humidity around 45–60 %, conditions that promote radiative cooling yet limit further drops. Trader consensus reflected in the market—18 °C leading at 53 % implied probability while 14–17 °C options sit near 47 %—captures remaining uncertainty in exact minimum readings, possible local station variations, and model spread on boundary-layer mixing. Historical September climatology for Wuhan centers on lows near 20 °C, providing context for why small shifts in cloud cover or wind could differentiate resolution thresholds. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration observations tonight will likely tighten these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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