Speaker Mike Johnson continues to lead a narrowly divided House Republican conference amid recurring legislative hurdles and internal tensions. Recent setbacks include the June 2026 failure of a short-term FISA Section 702 extension, opposed by most Democrats and roughly 20 Republicans, highlighting coalition management challenges ahead of multiple funding and policy deadlines. No active motion to vacate has advanced, though past hardliner criticism and discharge petition efforts underscore vulnerability tied to the slim majority. Midterm pressures in November 2026 and ongoing disputes over health care, surveillance authorities, and spending add scrutiny, yet Johnson maintains procedural control without immediate signs of widespread caucus revolt. Trader consensus reflects these structural constraints while noting potential for rapid shifts from any floor revolt or major legislative breakdown.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМайк Джонсон вышел из роли спикера...?
Майк Джонсон вышел из роли спикера...?
$103,913 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
30 июня 2026 года
2%
31 декабря 2026 года
13%
$103,913 Объем
30 июня 2026 года
$7,501 Объем
2%
31 декабря 2026 года
$3,075 Объем
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Speaker Mike Johnson continues to lead a narrowly divided House Republican conference amid recurring legislative hurdles and internal tensions. Recent setbacks include the June 2026 failure of a short-term FISA Section 702 extension, opposed by most Democrats and roughly 20 Republicans, highlighting coalition management challenges ahead of multiple funding and policy deadlines. No active motion to vacate has advanced, though past hardliner criticism and discharge petition efforts underscore vulnerability tied to the slim majority. Midterm pressures in November 2026 and ongoing disputes over health care, surveillance authorities, and spending add scrutiny, yet Johnson maintains procedural control without immediate signs of widespread caucus revolt. Trader consensus reflects these structural constraints while noting potential for rapid shifts from any floor revolt or major legislative breakdown.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
Объем
$103,913Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Speaker Mike Johnson continues to lead a narrowly divided House Republican conference amid recurring legislative hurdles and internal tensions. Recent setbacks include the June 2026 failure of a short-term FISA Section 702 extension, opposed by most Democrats and roughly 20 Republicans, highlighting coalition management challenges ahead of multiple funding and policy deadlines. No active motion to vacate has advanced, though past hardliner criticism and discharge petition efforts underscore vulnerability tied to the slim majority. Midterm pressures in November 2026 and ongoing disputes over health care, surveillance authorities, and spending add scrutiny, yet Johnson maintains procedural control without immediate signs of widespread caucus revolt. Trader consensus reflects these structural constraints while noting potential for rapid shifts from any floor revolt or major legislative breakdown.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$103,913Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Speaker Mike Johnson continues to lead a narrowly divided House Republican conference amid recurring legislative hurdles and internal tensions. Recent setbacks include the June 2026 failure of a short-term FISA Section 702 extension, opposed by most Democrats and roughly 20 Republicans, highlighting coalition management challenges ahead of multiple funding and policy deadlines. No active motion to vacate has advanced, though past hardliner criticism and discharge petition efforts underscore vulnerability tied to the slim majority. Midterm pressures in November 2026 and ongoing disputes over health care, surveillance authorities, and spending add scrutiny, yet Johnson maintains procedural control without immediate signs of widespread caucus revolt. Trader consensus reflects these structural constraints while noting potential for rapid shifts from any floor revolt or major legislative breakdown.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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