Speaker Mike Johnson continues to lead a narrow Republican House majority amid recurring procedural strains, including recent failed attempts to extend FISA surveillance authorities and pressure over must-pass spending measures ahead of summer deadlines. Traders assign low odds of his removal by mid-2026 because no viable motion to vacate has advanced despite past discharge petitions and internal GOP tensions over rules changes that raised the threshold for ouster votes. Key near-term catalysts include negotiations on reconciliation packages, border funding, and farm legislation, plus the November 2026 midterms that could alter the majority. Historical precedent shows slim-margin speakers facing repeated challenges, yet Johnson has maintained caucus support through procedural maneuvers and alignment with administration priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМайк Джонсон вышел из роли спикера...?
Майк Джонсон вышел из роли спикера...?
$103,621 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
30 июня 2026 года
4%
31 декабря 2026 года
13%
$103,621 Объем
30 июня 2026 года
$7,224 Объем
4%
31 декабря 2026 года
$3,060 Объем
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Speaker Mike Johnson continues to lead a narrow Republican House majority amid recurring procedural strains, including recent failed attempts to extend FISA surveillance authorities and pressure over must-pass spending measures ahead of summer deadlines. Traders assign low odds of his removal by mid-2026 because no viable motion to vacate has advanced despite past discharge petitions and internal GOP tensions over rules changes that raised the threshold for ouster votes. Key near-term catalysts include negotiations on reconciliation packages, border funding, and farm legislation, plus the November 2026 midterms that could alter the majority. Historical precedent shows slim-margin speakers facing repeated challenges, yet Johnson has maintained caucus support through procedural maneuvers and alignment with administration priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
Объем
$103,621Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Speaker Mike Johnson continues to lead a narrow Republican House majority amid recurring procedural strains, including recent failed attempts to extend FISA surveillance authorities and pressure over must-pass spending measures ahead of summer deadlines. Traders assign low odds of his removal by mid-2026 because no viable motion to vacate has advanced despite past discharge petitions and internal GOP tensions over rules changes that raised the threshold for ouster votes. Key near-term catalysts include negotiations on reconciliation packages, border funding, and farm legislation, plus the November 2026 midterms that could alter the majority. Historical precedent shows slim-margin speakers facing repeated challenges, yet Johnson has maintained caucus support through procedural maneuvers and alignment with administration priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$103,621Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Speaker Mike Johnson continues to lead a narrow Republican House majority amid recurring procedural strains, including recent failed attempts to extend FISA surveillance authorities and pressure over must-pass spending measures ahead of summer deadlines. Traders assign low odds of his removal by mid-2026 because no viable motion to vacate has advanced despite past discharge petitions and internal GOP tensions over rules changes that raised the threshold for ouster votes. Key near-term catalysts include negotiations on reconciliation packages, border funding, and farm legislation, plus the November 2026 midterms that could alter the majority. Historical precedent shows slim-margin speakers facing repeated challenges, yet Johnson has maintained caucus support through procedural maneuvers and alignment with administration priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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