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Number of TSA Passengers April 7?

Market icon

Number of TSA Passengers April 7?

2.2M-2.4M 100.0%

<2.2M <1%

2.4M-2.6M <1%

2.6M-2.8M <1%

Polymarket

$2,501 Объем

2.2M-2.4M 100.0%

<2.2M <1%

2.4M-2.6M <1%

2.6M-2.8M <1%

Polymarket

$2,501 Объем

<2.2M

$322 Объем

No

2.2M-2.4M

$227 Объем

Yes

2.4M-2.6M

$451 Объем

No

2.6M-2.8M

$287 Объем

No

2.8M-3.0M

$386 Объем

No

>3.0M

$828 Объем

No

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 7, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for 2.2 million to 2.4 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 7, driven by the agency's latest daily throughput data showing consistent weekday volumes around 2.3 million—following April 6's weekend peak of 2,706,000 and April 5's 2,562,000 amid post-spring break normalization. This positioning reflects sustained U.S. air travel demand, with year-over-year declines of about 8% but stable labor market conditions supporting consumer spending on leisure trips, absent major disruptions like March's government shutdown staffing shortages. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions or underreported volumes from peak-hour surges, though resolution is imminent with TSA's standard morning update.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 7, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$2,501
Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 7, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 7, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for 2.2 million to 2.4 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 7, driven by the agency's latest daily throughput data showing consistent weekday volumes around 2.3 million—following April 6's weekend peak of 2,706,000 and April 5's 2,562,000 amid post-spring break normalization. This positioning reflects sustained U.S. air travel demand, with year-over-year declines of about 8% but stable labor market conditions supporting consumer spending on leisure trips, absent major disruptions like March's government shutdown staffing shortages. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare data revisions or underreported volumes from peak-hour surges, though resolution is imminent with TSA's standard morning update.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 7, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$2,501
Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 7, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Number of TSA Passengers April 7?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «2.2M-2.4M» с 100%, за ним следует «<2.2M» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Number of TSA Passengers April 7?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 7, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Number of TSA Passengers April 7?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Number of TSA Passengers April 7?» — «2.2M-2.4M» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<2.2M» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Number of TSA Passengers April 7?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.