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Политика·аэропорт

Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?

Market icon
Политика·аэропорт

Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?

мар. 29

апр. 4

апр. 5

апр. 6

мар. 29

апр. 4

апр. 5

апр. 6

4,500-5,000 54%

5,000-5,500 54%

5,500-6,000 54%

4,000-4,500 51%

Polymarket

$372 Объем

4,500-5,000 54%

5,000-5,500 54%

5,500-6,000 54%

4,000-4,500 51%

Polymarket

$372 Объем

<4,000

$372 Объем

14%

4,000-4,500

$0 Объем

51%

4,500-5,000

$0 Объем

54%

5,000-5,500

$0 Объем

54%

5,500-6,000

$0 Объем

54%

6,000-6,500

$0 Объем

51%

6,500-7,000

$0 Объем

51%

>7,000

$0 Объем

51%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race among 4,500-6,000 flight delays for April 4, driven by midday reports showing around 5,000-5,500 delays nationwide per FlightAware and FAA data, amid ground delays at key hubs including Chicago O'Hare (ORD), San Francisco (SFO), Orlando (MCO), and Miami (MIA). Persistent low clouds in the Northeast from yesterday, Houston thunderstorms prompting waivers, and SFO's FAA-mandated arrival reductions due to runway construction have fueled disruptions without a single overwhelming catalyst. The race stays neck-and-neck as the day progresses, with separation possible from escalating afternoon storms, additional ground stops via the National Airspace System, or clearing weather allowing recovery in evening operations.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$372
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight race among 4,500-6,000 flight delays for April 4, driven by midday reports showing around 5,000-5,500 delays nationwide per FlightAware and FAA data, amid ground delays at key hubs including Chicago O'Hare (ORD), San Francisco (SFO), Orlando (MCO), and Miami (MIA). Persistent low clouds in the Northeast from yesterday, Houston thunderstorms prompting waivers, and SFO's FAA-mandated arrival reductions due to runway construction have fueled disruptions without a single overwhelming catalyst. The race stays neck-and-neck as the day progresses, with separation possible from escalating afternoon storms, additional ground stops via the National Airspace System, or clearing weather allowing recovery in evening operations.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$372
Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «4,500-5,000» с 54%, за ним следует «5,000-5,500» с 54%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 54¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?» — «4,500-5,000» с 54%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Следующий ближайший исход — «5,000-5,500» с 54%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.