Trader consensus on US flight delays for April 5 splits evenly between 6,500-7,000 (50%) and over 7,000 (50%), with lower bins clustered near 49.5%, reflecting uncertainty over Easter Sunday weather amid peak spring travel volumes exceeding 171 million passengers. Recent severe thunderstorms and low clouds have triggered widespread disruptions, including over 800 delays and dozens of cancellations at major carriers like United, American, and Delta in early April, compounded by FAA ground stops and Northeast fog today. Forecasts warn of showers and storms shifting east, potentially cascading delays from hubs like Dallas, Atlanta, New York, and Boston, but clearing conditions could cap numbers lower; updated models or airline waivers in the next 48 hours may tip the balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено<4,000 48%
4,500-5,000 48%
5,000-5,500 48%
5,500-6,000 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
<4,000
48%
4,000-4,500
48%
4,500-5,000
48%
5,000-5,500
48%
5,500-6,000
48%
6,000-6,500
48%
6,500-7,000
48%
>7,000
48%
<4,000 48%
4,500-5,000 48%
5,000-5,500 48%
5,500-6,000 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 апр. 2026 г.
<4,000
$0 Объем
48%
4,000-4,500
$0 Объем
48%
4,500-5,000
$0 Объем
48%
5,000-5,500
$0 Объем
48%
5,500-6,000
$0 Объем
48%
6,000-6,500
$0 Объем
48%
6,500-7,000
$0 Объем
48%
>7,000
$0 Объем
48%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on US flight delays for April 5 splits evenly between 6,500-7,000 (50%) and over 7,000 (50%), with lower bins clustered near 49.5%, reflecting uncertainty over Easter Sunday weather amid peak spring travel volumes exceeding 171 million passengers. Recent severe thunderstorms and low clouds have triggered widespread disruptions, including over 800 delays and dozens of cancellations at major carriers like United, American, and Delta in early April, compounded by FAA ground stops and Northeast fog today. Forecasts warn of showers and storms shifting east, potentially cascading delays from hubs like Dallas, Atlanta, New York, and Boston, but clearing conditions could cap numbers lower; updated models or airline waivers in the next 48 hours may tip the balance.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:21 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on US flight delays for April 5 splits evenly between 6,500-7,000 (50%) and over 7,000 (50%), with lower bins clustered near 49.5%, reflecting uncertainty over Easter Sunday weather amid peak spring travel volumes exceeding 171 million passengers. Recent severe thunderstorms and low clouds have triggered widespread disruptions, including over 800 delays and dozens of cancellations at major carriers like United, American, and Delta in early April, compounded by FAA ground stops and Northeast fog today. Forecasts warn of showers and storms shifting east, potentially cascading delays from hubs like Dallas, Atlanta, New York, and Boston, but clearing conditions could cap numbers lower; updated models or airline waivers in the next 48 hours may tip the balance.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
5 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:21 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on US flight delays for April 5 splits evenly between 6,500-7,000 (50%) and over 7,000 (50%), with lower bins clustered near 49.5%, reflecting uncertainty over Easter Sunday weather amid peak spring travel volumes exceeding 171 million passengers. Recent severe thunderstorms and low clouds have triggered widespread disruptions, including over 800 delays and dozens of cancellations at major carriers like United, American, and Delta in early April, compounded by FAA ground stops and Northeast fog today. Forecasts warn of showers and storms shifting east, potentially cascading delays from hubs like Dallas, Atlanta, New York, and Boston, but clearing conditions could cap numbers lower; updated models or airline waivers in the next 48 hours may tip the balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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