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Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 6?

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Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 6?

50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
50% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader sentiment for over 400 US flight cancellations on April 6 hinges on the ongoing DHS government shutdown causing TSA staffing shortages and extended security lines at major airports like ORD, LAX, and JFK, which have triggered widespread delays and recent cuts in airline schedules—such as United's 5% reduction and American's waivers through April 6. Post-Easter Monday return travel demand amplifies risks, while FAA reports forecast thunderstorms at hubs including MCO, DTW, and MEM, alongside severe weather outlooks for tornadoes and flooding in the central US. Recent days saw 261 cancellations on April 1 and over 2,300 disruptions on April 3; traders track real-time FlightAware data and evolving weather models for resolution via official tallies within, into, or out of the US.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:27 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader sentiment for over 400 US flight cancellations on April 6 hinges on the ongoing DHS government shutdown causing TSA staffing shortages and extended security lines at major airports like ORD, LAX, and JFK, which have triggered widespread delays and recent cuts in airline schedules—such as United's 5% reduction and American's waivers through April 6. Post-Easter Monday return travel demand amplifies risks, while FAA reports forecast thunderstorms at hubs including MCO, DTW, and MEM, alongside severe weather outlooks for tornadoes and flooding in the central US. Recent days saw 261 cancellations on April 1 and over 2,300 disruptions on April 3; traders track real-time FlightAware data and evolving weather models for resolution via official tallies within, into, or out of the US.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:27 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 6, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 6?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 50% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 50¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 50%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 6?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 6?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 6?» составляет 50% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 50%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 6?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.