Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's established pattern of 25-40 posts per day on X, yielding market-implied odds favoring 65-89 tweets (37%) over April 2-4, with 40-64 (31.5%) close behind amid his variable activity. Recent developments, including a quiet 11-post day on March 28-29 followed by a 52-post surge on March 29-30 and steady output on April 1—like updates on FSD 14.3 beta and SpaceX heat shields—underscore this range, as no major events like product launches or controversies are confirmed for the period. The tight race between bins highlights uncertainty from potential quiet spells or viral spikes in his pop culture commentary, with resolution hinging on exact X post tallies by April 4.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИлон Маск # tweets 2 апреля - 4 апреля 2026?
Илон Маск # tweets 2 апреля - 4 апреля 2026?
65–89 37%
40-64 32%
90-114 21%
115-139 8%
НОВОЕ
$108,760 Объем
НОВОЕ
$108,760 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
<40
4%
40-64
32%
65–89
37%
90-114
21%
115-139
8%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190–214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65–89 37%
40-64 32%
90-114 21%
115-139 8%
НОВОЕ
$108,760 Объем
НОВОЕ
$108,760 Объем
4 апр. 2026 г.
<40
$11,637 Объем
4%
40-64
$5,185 Объем
32%
65–89
$6,356 Объем
37%
90-114
$5,341 Объем
21%
115-139
$8,856 Объем
8%
140-164
$14,227 Объем
1%
165-189
$12,473 Объем
1%
190–214
$11,047 Объем
1%
215-239
$18,512 Объем
<1%
240+
$15,127 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's established pattern of 25-40 posts per day on X, yielding market-implied odds favoring 65-89 tweets (37%) over April 2-4, with 40-64 (31.5%) close behind amid his variable activity. Recent developments, including a quiet 11-post day on March 28-29 followed by a 52-post surge on March 29-30 and steady output on April 1—like updates on FSD 14.3 beta and SpaceX heat shields—underscore this range, as no major events like product launches or controversies are confirmed for the period. The tight race between bins highlights uncertainty from potential quiet spells or viral spikes in his pop culture commentary, with resolution hinging on exact X post tallies by April 4.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Объем
$108,760Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's established pattern of 25-40 posts per day on X, yielding market-implied odds favoring 65-89 tweets (37%) over April 2-4, with 40-64 (31.5%) close behind amid his variable activity. Recent developments, including a quiet 11-post day on March 28-29 followed by a 52-post surge on March 29-30 and steady output on April 1—like updates on FSD 14.3 beta and SpaceX heat shields—underscore this range, as no major events like product launches or controversies are confirmed for the period. The tight race between bins highlights uncertainty from potential quiet spells or viral spikes in his pop culture commentary, with resolution hinging on exact X post tallies by April 4.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$108,760Дата окончания
4 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's established pattern of 25-40 posts per day on X, yielding market-implied odds favoring 65-89 tweets (37%) over April 2-4, with 40-64 (31.5%) close behind amid his variable activity. Recent developments, including a quiet 11-post day on March 28-29 followed by a 52-post surge on March 29-30 and steady output on April 1—like updates on FSD 14.3 beta and SpaceX heat shields—underscore this range, as no major events like product launches or controversies are confirmed for the period. The tight race between bins highlights uncertainty from potential quiet spells or viral spikes in his pop culture commentary, with resolution hinging on exact X post tallies by April 4.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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