Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani's steady X posting cadence from the official @NYCMayor account—averaging 3-5 original posts daily on policy announcements, infrastructure upgrades, and public engagement—drives trader consensus toward the 20-39 range at 60% implied probability for April 3-10. Recent activity, including March 31 launches of a universal childcare parent survey and $108 million flood prevention investments, alongside Trans Day of Visibility messaging and ongoing "Municipal Madness" bracket voting on city repairs, mirrors this pace with 6 posts that day and 2 on March 30. Absent scheduled events like major announcements or crises to spike volume, markets price in historical norms over the prior month, with 40-59 viable for busier periods but 200+ reflecting outlier scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоМэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения 3 апреля - 10 апреля 2026 года?
Мэр Нью-Йорка # размещает сообщения 3 апреля - 10 апреля 2026 года?
20-39 53%
200+ 43%
40-59 24%
80-99 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 апр. 2026 г.
<20
18%
20-39
60%
40-59
24%
60-79
11%
80-99
22%
100-119
1%
120–139
1%
140-159
2%
160–179
2%
180-199
1%
200+
43%
20-39 53%
200+ 43%
40-59 24%
80-99 22%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 апр. 2026 г.
<20
$3 Объем
18%
20-39
$52 Объем
60%
40-59
$1 Объем
24%
60-79
$16 Объем
11%
80-99
$6 Объем
22%
100-119
$16 Объем
1%
120–139
$26 Объем
1%
140-159
$45 Объем
2%
160–179
$44 Объем
2%
180-199
$133 Объем
1%
200+
$120 Объем
43%
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani's steady X posting cadence from the official @NYCMayor account—averaging 3-5 original posts daily on policy announcements, infrastructure upgrades, and public engagement—drives trader consensus toward the 20-39 range at 60% implied probability for April 3-10. Recent activity, including March 31 launches of a universal childcare parent survey and $108 million flood prevention investments, alongside Trans Day of Visibility messaging and ongoing "Municipal Madness" bracket voting on city repairs, mirrors this pace with 6 posts that day and 2 on March 30. Absent scheduled events like major announcements or crises to spike volume, markets price in historical norms over the prior month, with 40-59 viable for busier periods but 200+ reflecting outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$463Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani's steady X posting cadence from the official @NYCMayor account—averaging 3-5 original posts daily on policy announcements, infrastructure upgrades, and public engagement—drives trader consensus toward the 20-39 range at 60% implied probability for April 3-10. Recent activity, including March 31 launches of a universal childcare parent survey and $108 million flood prevention investments, alongside Trans Day of Visibility messaging and ongoing "Municipal Madness" bracket voting on city repairs, mirrors this pace with 6 posts that day and 2 on March 30. Absent scheduled events like major announcements or crises to spike volume, markets price in historical norms over the prior month, with 40-59 viable for busier periods but 200+ reflecting outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$463Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani's steady X posting cadence from the official @NYCMayor account—averaging 3-5 original posts daily on policy announcements, infrastructure upgrades, and public engagement—drives trader consensus toward the 20-39 range at 60% implied probability for April 3-10. Recent activity, including March 31 launches of a universal childcare parent survey and $108 million flood prevention investments, alongside Trans Day of Visibility messaging and ongoing "Municipal Madness" bracket voting on city repairs, mirrors this pace with 6 posts that day and 2 on March 30. Absent scheduled events like major announcements or crises to spike volume, markets price in historical norms over the prior month, with 40-59 viable for busier periods but 200+ reflecting outlier scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы