Trader consensus prices a tight race among 140-199 posts for the @WhiteHouse X account from March 31 to April 7, driven by the Trump administration's steady high-volume posting pattern, with the prior week (March 20-27) heavily favoring 160-179 posts at 98% implied probability per related markets. Recent March 27 activity—multiple updates on U.S. military operations against Iran over the past 27 days, President Trump's Future Investment Initiative remarks, and promotions of farm tax relief, energy boosts, and agricultural market expansions—reinforces this ~20-28 posts-per-day cadence of official announcements and policy highlights. The contest stays close absent major catalysts; escalation in Iran tensions, executive orders, or high-profile events could surge toward 200+, while holidays like Easter (April 5) or reduced schedules might pull below 140.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоБелый дом # посты 31 марта - 7 апреля 2026 года?
Белый дом # посты 31 марта - 7 апреля 2026 года?
140-159 42%
160-179 42%
180–199 42%
100-119 37%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
2%
60-79
3%
80-99
3%
100-119
37%
120-139
37%
140-159
42%
160-179
42%
180–199
42%
200+
14%
140-159 42%
160-179 42%
180–199 42%
100-119 37%
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
2%
60-79
3%
80-99
3%
100-119
37%
120-139
37%
140-159
42%
160-179
42%
180–199
42%
200+
14%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a tight race among 140-199 posts for the @WhiteHouse X account from March 31 to April 7, driven by the Trump administration's steady high-volume posting pattern, with the prior week (March 20-27) heavily favoring 160-179 posts at 98% implied probability per related markets. Recent March 27 activity—multiple updates on U.S. military operations against Iran over the past 27 days, President Trump's Future Investment Initiative remarks, and promotions of farm tax relief, energy boosts, and agricultural market expansions—reinforces this ~20-28 posts-per-day cadence of official announcements and policy highlights. The contest stays close absent major catalysts; escalation in Iran tensions, executive orders, or high-profile events could surge toward 200+, while holidays like Easter (April 5) or reduced schedules might pull below 140.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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