Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects its sparse recent activity—averaging 2-4 posts per week since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli strikes—with the bio now denoting him as the "martyred Leader" and content limited to archival statements. This pattern, evident in roughly 11 posts from March 1-28 amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, keeps low bins tightly contested: 5-9 posts (35.5%), 10-14 (31.5%), and under 5 (30%). Escalation in regional conflicts, new supreme leader public statements, or transition milestones could spur bursts, while prolonged quiet might favor sub-5 resolution by April 10.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоKhamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
5-9 49%
10–14 32%
<5 30%
15–19 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 апр. 2026 г.
<5
30%
5-9
36%
10–14
32%
15–19
26%
20–24
15%
25-29
15%
30-34
11%
35–39
8%
40-44
8%
45-49
8%
50–54
8%
55-59
8%
60+
7%
5-9 49%
10–14 32%
<5 30%
15–19 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 апр. 2026 г.
<5
$0 Объем
30%
5-9
$2 Объем
36%
10–14
$0 Объем
32%
15–19
$0 Объем
26%
20–24
$0 Объем
15%
25-29
$0 Объем
15%
30-34
$0 Объем
11%
35–39
$31 Объем
8%
40-44
$31 Объем
8%
45-49
$31 Объем
8%
50–54
$31 Объем
8%
55-59
$31 Объем
8%
60+
$31 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects its sparse recent activity—averaging 2-4 posts per week since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli strikes—with the bio now denoting him as the "martyred Leader" and content limited to archival statements. This pattern, evident in roughly 11 posts from March 1-28 amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, keeps low bins tightly contested: 5-9 posts (35.5%), 10-14 (31.5%), and under 5 (30%). Escalation in regional conflicts, new supreme leader public statements, or transition milestones could spur bursts, while prolonged quiet might favor sub-5 resolution by April 10.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$186Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects its sparse recent activity—averaging 2-4 posts per week since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli strikes—with the bio now denoting him as the "martyred Leader" and content limited to archival statements. This pattern, evident in roughly 11 posts from March 1-28 amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, keeps low bins tightly contested: 5-9 posts (35.5%), 10-14 (31.5%), and under 5 (30%). Escalation in regional conflicts, new supreme leader public statements, or transition milestones could spur bursts, while prolonged quiet might favor sub-5 resolution by April 10.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$186Дата окончания
10 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects its sparse recent activity—averaging 2-4 posts per week since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli strikes—with the bio now denoting him as the "martyred Leader" and content limited to archival statements. This pattern, evident in roughly 11 posts from March 1-28 amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, keeps low bins tightly contested: 5-9 posts (35.5%), 10-14 (31.5%), and under 5 (30%). Escalation in regional conflicts, new supreme leader public statements, or transition milestones could spur bursts, while prolonged quiet might favor sub-5 resolution by April 10.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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