Recent heavy rainfall early in June has pushed London totals near or above the long-term average of 45-60 mm by mid-month, with Kew Gardens already recording 50 mm through early June amid a changeable pattern of showers and Atlantic low-pressure systems. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 50-70 mm because remaining weeks carry substantial uncertainty from variable jet stream positioning and North Atlantic Oscillation phases, which can shift between drier high-pressure dominance and wetter unsettled flow. Official Met Office and MeteoGroup outlooks diverge on summer rainfall, while ENSO-neutral conditions limit strong teleconnections; final totals hinge on whether late-June model runs favor continued Atlantic moisture or building ridges that suppress precipitation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPrecipitation in London in June?
Precipitation in London in June?
80mm+ 99.6%
<30mm <1%
30-40mm <1%
40-50mm <1%
$12,554 Объем
$12,554 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<30mm
No
30-40mm
No
40-50mm
No
50-60mm
No
60-70mm
No
70-80mm
No
80mm+
Yes
80mm+ 99.6%
<30mm <1%
30-40mm <1%
40-50mm <1%
$12,554 Объем
$12,554 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<30mm
$2,572 Объем
No
30-40mm
$1,108 Объем
No
40-50mm
$913 Объем
No
50-60mm
$1,531 Объем
No
60-70mm
$1,013 Объем
No
70-80mm
$1,168 Объем
No
80mm+
$4,249 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall early in June has pushed London totals near or above the long-term average of 45-60 mm by mid-month, with Kew Gardens already recording 50 mm through early June amid a changeable pattern of showers and Atlantic low-pressure systems. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 50-70 mm because remaining weeks carry substantial uncertainty from variable jet stream positioning and North Atlantic Oscillation phases, which can shift between drier high-pressure dominance and wetter unsettled flow. Official Met Office and MeteoGroup outlooks diverge on summer rainfall, while ENSO-neutral conditions limit strong teleconnections; final totals hinge on whether late-June model runs favor continued Atlantic moisture or building ridges that suppress precipitation.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 27, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Объем
$12,554Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent heavy rainfall early in June has pushed London totals near or above the long-term average of 45-60 mm by mid-month, with Kew Gardens already recording 50 mm through early June amid a changeable pattern of showers and Atlantic low-pressure systems. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 50-70 mm because remaining weeks carry substantial uncertainty from variable jet stream positioning and North Atlantic Oscillation phases, which can shift between drier high-pressure dominance and wetter unsettled flow. Official Met Office and MeteoGroup outlooks diverge on summer rainfall, while ENSO-neutral conditions limit strong teleconnections; final totals hinge on whether late-June model runs favor continued Atlantic moisture or building ridges that suppress precipitation.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$12,554Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 27, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent heavy rainfall early in June has pushed London totals near or above the long-term average of 45-60 mm by mid-month, with Kew Gardens already recording 50 mm through early June amid a changeable pattern of showers and Atlantic low-pressure systems. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 50-70 mm because remaining weeks carry substantial uncertainty from variable jet stream positioning and North Atlantic Oscillation phases, which can shift between drier high-pressure dominance and wetter unsettled flow. Official Met Office and MeteoGroup outlooks diverge on summer rainfall, while ENSO-neutral conditions limit strong teleconnections; final totals hinge on whether late-June model runs favor continued Atlantic moisture or building ridges that suppress precipitation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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