Recent party conventions and endorsements from the Bolsonaro family have positioned PL candidates Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro as frontrunners for Santa Catarina's two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet multiple polls show them closely trailed by Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and others including Antídio Lunelli (MDB) and Jeferson da Rocha (PRD). High undecided voter shares and split-ticket dynamics in a multi-candidate field sustain tight implied probabilities across leading names. Late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional alliances, or campaign momentum in the remaining months could widen gaps before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Сенат Санта-Катарина: 1-е место
Lunelli 17%
Carol de Toni 16%
Jeferson da Rocha 14%
Marlene Soccas 13%

Lunelli
17%

Carol de Toni
35%

Jeferson da Rocha
14%

Marlene Soccas
13%

Carlos Bolsonaro
12%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
11%

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
11%

Décio Lima
11%

Marcos Dorval
9%

Afrânio Boppré
9%

Joaninha de Oliveira
13%

Carol
8%

Esperidião Amin
8%
Lunelli 17%
Carol de Toni 16%
Jeferson da Rocha 14%
Marlene Soccas 13%

Lunelli
17%

Carol de Toni
35%

Jeferson da Rocha
14%

Marlene Soccas
13%

Carlos Bolsonaro
12%

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
11%

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
11%

Décio Lima
11%

Marcos Dorval
9%

Afrânio Boppré
9%

Joaninha de Oliveira
13%

Carol
8%

Esperidião Amin
8%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent party conventions and endorsements from the Bolsonaro family have positioned PL candidates Carol de Toni and Carlos Bolsonaro as frontrunners for Santa Catarina's two Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet multiple polls show them closely trailed by Esperidião Amin (PP), Décio Lima (PT), and others including Antídio Lunelli (MDB) and Jeferson da Rocha (PRD). High undecided voter shares and split-ticket dynamics in a multi-candidate field sustain tight implied probabilities across leading names. Late shifts in turnout among key voting blocs, additional alliances, or campaign momentum in the remaining months could widen gaps before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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