The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, has passed the House multiple times—including narrow votes in April 2025 and February 2026—but remains stalled in the Senate. With Republicans holding 53 seats, the bill needs 60 votes to overcome a filibuster and advance, yet it has drawn no Democratic support and faced internal GOP divisions. Recent attempts to attach it to must-pass measures, such as a June 2026 DHS funding bill amendment, failed when several Republicans joined Democrats in opposition. Traders assign an 89.5% probability to “No” for 2026 enactment due to these procedural barriers, the absence of scheduled floor action capable of bypassing them, and the calendar constraints before year-end. No viable legislative path has emerged to secure identical passage in both chambers and presidential signature.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$169,092 Объем
$169,092 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$169,092 Объем
$169,092 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, has passed the House multiple times—including narrow votes in April 2025 and February 2026—but remains stalled in the Senate. With Republicans holding 53 seats, the bill needs 60 votes to overcome a filibuster and advance, yet it has drawn no Democratic support and faced internal GOP divisions. Recent attempts to attach it to must-pass measures, such as a June 2026 DHS funding bill amendment, failed when several Republicans joined Democrats in opposition. Traders assign an 89.5% probability to “No” for 2026 enactment due to these procedural barriers, the absence of scheduled floor action capable of bypassing them, and the calendar constraints before year-end. No viable legislative path has emerged to secure identical passage in both chambers and presidential signature.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Объем
$169,092Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, has passed the House multiple times—including narrow votes in April 2025 and February 2026—but remains stalled in the Senate. With Republicans holding 53 seats, the bill needs 60 votes to overcome a filibuster and advance, yet it has drawn no Democratic support and faced internal GOP divisions. Recent attempts to attach it to must-pass measures, such as a June 2026 DHS funding bill amendment, failed when several Republicans joined Democrats in opposition. Traders assign an 89.5% probability to “No” for 2026 enactment due to these procedural barriers, the absence of scheduled floor action capable of bypassing them, and the calendar constraints before year-end. No viable legislative path has emerged to secure identical passage in both chambers and presidential signature.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$169,092Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), which would require documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, has passed the House multiple times—including narrow votes in April 2025 and February 2026—but remains stalled in the Senate. With Republicans holding 53 seats, the bill needs 60 votes to overcome a filibuster and advance, yet it has drawn no Democratic support and faced internal GOP divisions. Recent attempts to attach it to must-pass measures, such as a June 2026 DHS funding bill amendment, failed when several Republicans joined Democrats in opposition. Traders assign an 89.5% probability to “No” for 2026 enactment due to these procedural barriers, the absence of scheduled floor action capable of bypassing them, and the calendar constraints before year-end. No viable legislative path has emerged to secure identical passage in both chambers and presidential signature.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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