Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced Spirit Airlines shutdown or liquidation by May 31 at a 100% implied probability for "Yes," reflecting the collapse of a proposed $500 million U.S. government bailout announced just hours ago on May 1, 2026. Persistent cash burn, jet fuel prices surging beyond the $2.24 per gallon assumed in its March restructuring plan, and creditor disagreements have derailed emergence from Chapter 11 bankruptcy filed in late 2025, forcing asset liquidation as early as this weekend. While near-certain given depleted liquidity and halted operations reports, tail risks include an eleventh-hour private equity rescue or emergency federal intervention amid antitrust scrutiny on industry consolidation. Traders eye DOT filings and court updates ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЗакрытие/ликвидация Spirit Airlines к 31 мая?
Закрытие/ликвидация Spirit Airlines к 31 мая?
Да
$212,192 Объем
$212,192 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
Да
$212,192 Объем
$212,192 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spirit Airlines officially announces that it will cease operations or liquidate its assets by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Ceases operations refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will stop operating commercial flights on a permanent basis. This includes announcements that flight operations will stop, even if operations are planned to continue temporarily. Capacity reductions or operational pauses will not qualify.
Liquidate its assets refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will sell off its assets with intent to close its business. This includes the court approval of a liquidation plan in bankruptcy proceedings.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Spirit Airlines and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced Spirit Airlines shutdown or liquidation by May 31 at a 100% implied probability for "Yes," reflecting the collapse of a proposed $500 million U.S. government bailout announced just hours ago on May 1, 2026. Persistent cash burn, jet fuel prices surging beyond the $2.24 per gallon assumed in its March restructuring plan, and creditor disagreements have derailed emergence from Chapter 11 bankruptcy filed in late 2025, forcing asset liquidation as early as this weekend. While near-certain given depleted liquidity and halted operations reports, tail risks include an eleventh-hour private equity rescue or emergency federal intervention amid antitrust scrutiny on industry consolidation. Traders eye DOT filings and court updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spirit Airlines officially announces that it will cease operations or liquidate its assets by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Ceases operations refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will stop operating commercial flights on a permanent basis. This includes announcements that flight operations will stop, even if operations are planned to continue temporarily. Capacity reductions or operational pauses will not qualify.
Liquidate its assets refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will sell off its assets with intent to close its business. This includes the court approval of a liquidation plan in bankruptcy proceedings.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Spirit Airlines and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ceases operations refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will stop operating commercial flights on a permanent basis. This includes announcements that flight operations will stop, even if operations are planned to continue temporarily. Capacity reductions or operational pauses will not qualify.
Liquidate its assets refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will sell off its assets with intent to close its business. This includes the court approval of a liquidation plan in bankruptcy proceedings.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Spirit Airlines and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Объем
$212,192Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spirit Airlines officially announces that it will cease operations or liquidate its assets by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Ceases operations refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will stop operating commercial flights on a permanent basis. This includes announcements that flight operations will stop, even if operations are planned to continue temporarily. Capacity reductions or operational pauses will not qualify.
Liquidate its assets refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will sell off its assets with intent to close its business. This includes the court approval of a liquidation plan in bankruptcy proceedings.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Spirit Airlines and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced Spirit Airlines shutdown or liquidation by May 31 at a 100% implied probability for "Yes," reflecting the collapse of a proposed $500 million U.S. government bailout announced just hours ago on May 1, 2026. Persistent cash burn, jet fuel prices surging beyond the $2.24 per gallon assumed in its March restructuring plan, and creditor disagreements have derailed emergence from Chapter 11 bankruptcy filed in late 2025, forcing asset liquidation as early as this weekend. While near-certain given depleted liquidity and halted operations reports, tail risks include an eleventh-hour private equity rescue or emergency federal intervention amid antitrust scrutiny on industry consolidation. Traders eye DOT filings and court updates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Spirit Airlines officially announces that it will cease operations or liquidate its assets by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Ceases operations refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will stop operating commercial flights on a permanent basis. This includes announcements that flight operations will stop, even if operations are planned to continue temporarily. Capacity reductions or operational pauses will not qualify.
Liquidate its assets refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will sell off its assets with intent to close its business. This includes the court approval of a liquidation plan in bankruptcy proceedings.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Spirit Airlines and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ceases operations refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will stop operating commercial flights on a permanent basis. This includes announcements that flight operations will stop, even if operations are planned to continue temporarily. Capacity reductions or operational pauses will not qualify.
Liquidate its assets refers to an official announcement from Spirit Airlines that it will sell off its assets with intent to close its business. This includes the court approval of a liquidation plan in bankruptcy proceedings.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from Spirit Airlines and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$212,192Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced Spirit Airlines shutdown or liquidation by May 31 at a 100% implied probability for "Yes," reflecting the collapse of a proposed $500 million U.S. government bailout announced just hours ago on May 1, 2026. Persistent cash burn, jet fuel prices surging beyond the $2.24 per gallon assumed in its March restructuring plan, and creditor disagreements have derailed emergence from Chapter 11 bankruptcy filed in late 2025, forcing asset liquidation as early as this weekend. While near-certain given depleted liquidity and halted operations reports, tail risks include an eleventh-hour private equity rescue or emergency federal intervention amid antitrust scrutiny on industry consolidation. Traders eye DOT filings and court updates ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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