Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.3% for EU dissolution before 2027, reflecting the bloc's institutional resilience amid persistent challenges like French political instability and Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 13, 2026, where Viktor Orbán's Fidesz secured victory without exit pledges. No member states have triggered Article 50 withdrawal procedures since Brexit, and public support for EU membership remains high across polls, bolstered by economic interdependence and shared single market benefits. Recent EU actions, including March 2026 reinforcements to the Emissions Trading System for market stability, underscore continuity. Realistic shifts would require a cascade of national referendums or sovereign debt crises in core economies like France or Italy, scenarios viewed as improbable within the timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЕС распадется до 2027 года?
ЕС распадется до 2027 года?
Да
$162,282 Объем
$162,282 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$162,282 Объем
$162,282 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.3% for EU dissolution before 2027, reflecting the bloc's institutional resilience amid persistent challenges like French political instability and Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 13, 2026, where Viktor Orbán's Fidesz secured victory without exit pledges. No member states have triggered Article 50 withdrawal procedures since Brexit, and public support for EU membership remains high across polls, bolstered by economic interdependence and shared single market benefits. Recent EU actions, including March 2026 reinforcements to the Emissions Trading System for market stability, underscore continuity. Realistic shifts would require a cascade of national referendums or sovereign debt crises in core economies like France or Italy, scenarios viewed as improbable within the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ET
Объем
$162,282Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.3% for EU dissolution before 2027, reflecting the bloc's institutional resilience amid persistent challenges like French political instability and Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 13, 2026, where Viktor Orbán's Fidesz secured victory without exit pledges. No member states have triggered Article 50 withdrawal procedures since Brexit, and public support for EU membership remains high across polls, bolstered by economic interdependence and shared single market benefits. Recent EU actions, including March 2026 reinforcements to the Emissions Trading System for market stability, underscore continuity. Realistic shifts would require a cascade of national referendums or sovereign debt crises in core economies like France or Italy, scenarios viewed as improbable within the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU.
2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity.
EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$162,282Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 7, 2025, 6:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.3% for EU dissolution before 2027, reflecting the bloc's institutional resilience amid persistent challenges like French political instability and Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 13, 2026, where Viktor Orbán's Fidesz secured victory without exit pledges. No member states have triggered Article 50 withdrawal procedures since Brexit, and public support for EU membership remains high across polls, bolstered by economic interdependence and shared single market benefits. Recent EU actions, including March 2026 reinforcements to the Emissions Trading System for market stability, underscore continuity. Realistic shifts would require a cascade of national referendums or sovereign debt crises in core economies like France or Italy, scenarios viewed as improbable within the timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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