Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly affirmed his commitment to completing the full legislative term through 2027, with the government advancing procedures for the 2027 General State Budget and explicitly ruling out an early national vote. No successful no-confidence motion has passed, and key external allies such as Junts have not withdrawn support despite PSOE setbacks in May 2026 regional contests, including heavy losses in Andalusia. These developments underpin trader consensus favoring a 64 percent probability that no snap election will be called by December 31, 2026, even as opposition gains continue in polling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$26,633 Объем
$26,633 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$26,633 Объем
$26,633 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly affirmed his commitment to completing the full legislative term through 2027, with the government advancing procedures for the 2027 General State Budget and explicitly ruling out an early national vote. No successful no-confidence motion has passed, and key external allies such as Junts have not withdrawn support despite PSOE setbacks in May 2026 regional contests, including heavy losses in Andalusia. These developments underpin trader consensus favoring a 64 percent probability that no snap election will be called by December 31, 2026, even as opposition gains continue in polling.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Объем
$26,633Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly affirmed his commitment to completing the full legislative term through 2027, with the government advancing procedures for the 2027 General State Budget and explicitly ruling out an early national vote. No successful no-confidence motion has passed, and key external allies such as Junts have not withdrawn support despite PSOE setbacks in May 2026 regional contests, including heavy losses in Andalusia. These developments underpin trader consensus favoring a 64 percent probability that no snap election will be called by December 31, 2026, even as opposition gains continue in polling.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$26,633Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly affirmed his commitment to completing the full legislative term through 2027, with the government advancing procedures for the 2027 General State Budget and explicitly ruling out an early national vote. No successful no-confidence motion has passed, and key external allies such as Junts have not withdrawn support despite PSOE setbacks in May 2026 regional contests, including heavy losses in Andalusia. These developments underpin trader consensus favoring a 64 percent probability that no snap election will be called by December 31, 2026, even as opposition gains continue in polling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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