**Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intention to serve the full legislative term, with the next Spanish general election scheduled no later than August 2027.** Recent regional contests in 2025 and early 2026, including snap votes in Extremadura and Aragón plus the May Andalusian election, delivered notable losses for the ruling PSOE and a rightward shift, yet produced no parliamentary impasse or coalition breakdown sufficient to force dissolution of the national Cortes. Sánchez has rejected speculation tying any early national vote to the 2026 General State Budget negotiations or external events such as the Iran conflict, while coalition partners including Junts have not withdrawn support in a manner that would trigger a snap ballot. Traders therefore assign the higher probability to no dissolution occurring before year-end 2026, reflecting the absence of an immediate catalyst and the government’s consistent public commitment to completing the term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$26,643 Объем
$26,643 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$26,643 Объем
$26,643 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intention to serve the full legislative term, with the next Spanish general election scheduled no later than August 2027.** Recent regional contests in 2025 and early 2026, including snap votes in Extremadura and Aragón plus the May Andalusian election, delivered notable losses for the ruling PSOE and a rightward shift, yet produced no parliamentary impasse or coalition breakdown sufficient to force dissolution of the national Cortes. Sánchez has rejected speculation tying any early national vote to the 2026 General State Budget negotiations or external events such as the Iran conflict, while coalition partners including Junts have not withdrawn support in a manner that would trigger a snap ballot. Traders therefore assign the higher probability to no dissolution occurring before year-end 2026, reflecting the absence of an immediate catalyst and the government’s consistent public commitment to completing the term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Объем
$26,643Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
**Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intention to serve the full legislative term, with the next Spanish general election scheduled no later than August 2027.** Recent regional contests in 2025 and early 2026, including snap votes in Extremadura and Aragón plus the May Andalusian election, delivered notable losses for the ruling PSOE and a rightward shift, yet produced no parliamentary impasse or coalition breakdown sufficient to force dissolution of the national Cortes. Sánchez has rejected speculation tying any early national vote to the 2026 General State Budget negotiations or external events such as the Iran conflict, while coalition partners including Junts have not withdrawn support in a manner that would trigger a snap ballot. Traders therefore assign the higher probability to no dissolution occurring before year-end 2026, reflecting the absence of an immediate catalyst and the government’s consistent public commitment to completing the term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$26,643Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has repeatedly stated his intention to serve the full legislative term, with the next Spanish general election scheduled no later than August 2027.** Recent regional contests in 2025 and early 2026, including snap votes in Extremadura and Aragón plus the May Andalusian election, delivered notable losses for the ruling PSOE and a rightward shift, yet produced no parliamentary impasse or coalition breakdown sufficient to force dissolution of the national Cortes. Sánchez has rejected speculation tying any early national vote to the 2026 General State Budget negotiations or external events such as the Iran conflict, while coalition partners including Junts have not withdrawn support in a manner that would trigger a snap ballot. Traders therefore assign the higher probability to no dissolution occurring before year-end 2026, reflecting the absence of an immediate catalyst and the government’s consistent public commitment to completing the term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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