Emmanuel Macron holds authority to dissolve the National Assembly and call snap legislative elections, a power last exercised in June 2024 after European Parliament results. With his second term ending in May 2027 and the constitution barring a third consecutive run, attention centers on the scheduled April 2027 presidential vote and any post-election dissolution by the incoming president. Recent municipal elections in March 2026 and ongoing parliamentary fragmentation have kept coalition dynamics and polling for 2027 contenders such as Edouard Philippe in focus. No new snap parliamentary contest has been triggered since 2024, though the new president could initiate one within 20–40 days of inauguration to seek a majority. Trader pricing reflects these institutional timelines and the limited windows for dissolution before the 2029 legislative cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,063,500 Объем
30 июня 2026 года
1%
$1,063,500 Объем
30 июня 2026 года
1%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Emmanuel Macron holds authority to dissolve the National Assembly and call snap legislative elections, a power last exercised in June 2024 after European Parliament results. With his second term ending in May 2027 and the constitution barring a third consecutive run, attention centers on the scheduled April 2027 presidential vote and any post-election dissolution by the incoming president. Recent municipal elections in March 2026 and ongoing parliamentary fragmentation have kept coalition dynamics and polling for 2027 contenders such as Edouard Philippe in focus. No new snap parliamentary contest has been triggered since 2024, though the new president could initiate one within 20–40 days of inauguration to seek a majority. Trader pricing reflects these institutional timelines and the limited windows for dissolution before the 2029 legislative cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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