Sébastien Lecornu’s position as prime minister remains precarious due to France’s fragmented National Assembly and the need to secure passage of the 2027 budget amid demands for roughly €30 billion in spending cuts. Opposition parties including La France Insoumise and Rassemblement National have signaled readiness to file censure motions, while the Socialist Party’s presidential primary has reduced prospects for renewed non-censure agreements that previously allowed Lecornu to survive 2026 budget votes. His approval rating has fallen to 20 percent in recent polling, reflecting voter concerns over purchasing power and public finances. Parliamentary budget debates are scheduled to intensify after the ordinary session opens on 1 October, with procedural tools such as Article 49.3 available but politically costly. These factors shape trader assessments of near-term resignation or removal risks.