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Касса третьего уик-энда фильма «Супер Марио Гэлакси»

Market icon

Касса третьего уик-энда фильма «Супер Марио Гэлакси»

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апр. 27

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апр. 27

апр. 27

<44 млн 95.4%

44-48 млн 3.6%

>52 млн <1%

48-52 млн <1%

Polymarket

$38,844 Объем

<44 млн 95.4%

44-48 млн 3.6%

>52 млн <1%

48-52 млн <1%

Polymarket

$38,844 Объем

<44 млн

$3,397 Объем

95%

44-48 млн

$5,150 Объем

4%

48-52 млн

$8,313 Объем

1%

>52 млн

$21,984 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Universal/Illumination's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie enters its third weekend with traders overwhelmingly backing a sub-$44 million domestic haul at 95.4% implied probability, driven by a steeper-than-expected 48% second-weekend drop to $69 million—worse than the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's 37% hold—and industry tracking previews pegging Frame 3 at $35-45 million amid waning post-Easter family turnout. Lacking the predecessor's legendary multipliers, the animated sequel's front-loaded performance reflects solid but not exceptional word-of-mouth, with minimal four-quadrant competition this frame from holdovers like Project Hail Mary. An upset exceeding $44 million would require unusually strong legs from repeat viewings or unexpected walk-ups, though actual Friday-through-Sunday grosses report imminently.

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$38,844
Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Universal/Illumination's The Super Mario Galaxy Movie enters its third weekend with traders overwhelmingly backing a sub-$44 million domestic haul at 95.4% implied probability, driven by a steeper-than-expected 48% second-weekend drop to $69 million—worse than the 2023 Super Mario Bros. Movie's 37% hold—and industry tracking previews pegging Frame 3 at $35-45 million amid waning post-Easter family turnout. Lacking the predecessor's legendary multipliers, the animated sequel's front-loaded performance reflects solid but not exceptional word-of-mouth, with minimal four-quadrant competition this frame from holdovers like Project Hail Mary. An upset exceeding $44 million would require unusually strong legs from repeat viewings or unexpected walk-ups, though actual Friday-through-Sunday grosses report imminently.

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$38,844
Дата окончания
20 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.the-numbers.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Касса третьего уик-энда фильма «Супер Марио Гэлакси»» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<44 млн» с 95%, за ним следует «44-48 млн» с 4%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 95¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 95%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Касса третьего уик-энда фильма «Супер Марио Гэлакси»» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $38.8K с момента запуска рынка Apr 13, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Касса третьего уик-энда фильма «Супер Марио Гэлакси»», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Касса третьего уик-энда фильма «Супер Марио Гэлакси»» — «<44 млн» с 95%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 95%. Следующий ближайший исход — «44-48 млн» с 4%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Касса третьего уик-энда фильма «Супер Марио Гэлакси»» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.