Recent polling averages from aggregators such as RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Silver Bulletin place President Trump’s job approval in the 38–39% range as of early September 2026, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 38.0–38.4 bracket. Sustained economic pressures linked to the ongoing Iran conflict, elevated energy prices, and new tariffs have contributed to recent declines in several surveys, including a Focaldata/Financial Times poll showing a drop to 32–33%. Rasmussen Reports continues to register higher readings near 42–43%, but broader tracking reflects net disapproval near or above 20 points. With the September 11 resolution date imminent, limited time remains for major shifts absent a significant catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено38,0–38,4 65%
38,5–38,9 24%
39,0–39,4 8%
37,5–37,9 6%
<37,5
1%
37,5–37,9
6%
38,0–38,4
65%
38,5–38,9
24%
39,0–39,4
8%
39,5+
1%
38,0–38,4 65%
38,5–38,9 24%
39,0–39,4 8%
37,5–37,9 6%
<37,5
1%
37,5–37,9
6%
38,0–38,4
65%
38,5–38,9
24%
39,0–39,4
8%
39,5+
1%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages from aggregators such as RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Silver Bulletin place President Trump’s job approval in the 38–39% range as of early September 2026, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward the 38.0–38.4 bracket. Sustained economic pressures linked to the ongoing Iran conflict, elevated energy prices, and new tariffs have contributed to recent declines in several surveys, including a Focaldata/Financial Times poll showing a drop to 32–33%. Rasmussen Reports continues to register higher readings near 42–43%, but broader tracking reflects net disapproval near or above 20 points. With the September 11 resolution date imminent, limited time remains for major shifts absent a significant catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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