The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the statutory debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, providing sufficient borrowing authority through much of 2027 according to Bipartisan Policy Center projections of a potential breach between late winter and mid-summer of that year. Treasury extraordinary measures would extend that runway by several additional months. Congress has adjusted or suspended the limit more than 100 times historically when necessary, reflecting consistent bipartisan recognition that failure to act would disrupt payments on existing obligations including interest, Social Security, and military compensation. Recent forecasts reinforce expectations that lawmakers will again act ahead of any deadline, supporting the 94.7% trader consensus against default. Unforeseen developments such as prolonged legislative gridlock could still shift assessments before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДефолты США по долгам к 2027 году?
Дефолты США по долгам к 2027 году?
Да
$15,070 Объем
$15,070 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$15,070 Объем
$15,070 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the statutory debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, providing sufficient borrowing authority through much of 2027 according to Bipartisan Policy Center projections of a potential breach between late winter and mid-summer of that year. Treasury extraordinary measures would extend that runway by several additional months. Congress has adjusted or suspended the limit more than 100 times historically when necessary, reflecting consistent bipartisan recognition that failure to act would disrupt payments on existing obligations including interest, Social Security, and military compensation. Recent forecasts reinforce expectations that lawmakers will again act ahead of any deadline, supporting the 94.7% trader consensus against default. Unforeseen developments such as prolonged legislative gridlock could still shift assessments before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ET
Объем
$15,070Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the statutory debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, providing sufficient borrowing authority through much of 2027 according to Bipartisan Policy Center projections of a potential breach between late winter and mid-summer of that year. Treasury extraordinary measures would extend that runway by several additional months. Congress has adjusted or suspended the limit more than 100 times historically when necessary, reflecting consistent bipartisan recognition that failure to act would disrupt payments on existing obligations including interest, Social Security, and military compensation. Recent forecasts reinforce expectations that lawmakers will again act ahead of any deadline, supporting the 94.7% trader consensus against default. Unforeseen developments such as prolonged legislative gridlock could still shift assessments before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Объем
$15,070Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The July 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act raised the statutory debt ceiling by $5 trillion to $41.1 trillion, providing sufficient borrowing authority through much of 2027 according to Bipartisan Policy Center projections of a potential breach between late winter and mid-summer of that year. Treasury extraordinary measures would extend that runway by several additional months. Congress has adjusted or suspended the limit more than 100 times historically when necessary, reflecting consistent bipartisan recognition that failure to act would disrupt payments on existing obligations including interest, Social Security, and military compensation. Recent forecasts reinforce expectations that lawmakers will again act ahead of any deadline, supporting the 94.7% trader consensus against default. Unforeseen developments such as prolonged legislative gridlock could still shift assessments before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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