Google DeepMind has yet to officially release Veo 4, its anticipated next-generation AI video generation model, leaving current trader consensus reflecting prolonged delays amid intensifying competition from rivals like Seedance 2.0 and fading OpenAI Sora efforts. Veo 3.1, launched in January 2026, introduced native audio, vertical video support for platforms like YouTube Shorts, and improved prompt adherence, but user feedback highlights limitations in clip length and realism compared to frontier benchmarks. Speculation centers on a potential unveiling at Google I/O on May 18, 2026, with leaks suggesting 4K output, persistent characters, and advanced camera controls—key factors that could shift market-implied odds if confirmed, though historical patterns show AI model timelines often slip due to safety evaluations and compute scaling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоVEO 4 выпустил...?
VEO 4 выпустил...?
$43,448 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
30 апреля
<1%
$43,448 Объем
30 апреля
$1,158 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google DeepMind has yet to officially release Veo 4, its anticipated next-generation AI video generation model, leaving current trader consensus reflecting prolonged delays amid intensifying competition from rivals like Seedance 2.0 and fading OpenAI Sora efforts. Veo 3.1, launched in January 2026, introduced native audio, vertical video support for platforms like YouTube Shorts, and improved prompt adherence, but user feedback highlights limitations in clip length and realism compared to frontier benchmarks. Speculation centers on a potential unveiling at Google I/O on May 18, 2026, with leaks suggesting 4K output, persistent characters, and advanced camera controls—key factors that could shift market-implied odds if confirmed, though historical patterns show AI model timelines often slip due to safety evaluations and compute scaling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Объем
$43,448Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google DeepMind has yet to officially release Veo 4, its anticipated next-generation AI video generation model, leaving current trader consensus reflecting prolonged delays amid intensifying competition from rivals like Seedance 2.0 and fading OpenAI Sora efforts. Veo 3.1, launched in January 2026, introduced native audio, vertical video support for platforms like YouTube Shorts, and improved prompt adherence, but user feedback highlights limitations in clip length and realism compared to frontier benchmarks. Speculation centers on a potential unveiling at Google I/O on May 18, 2026, with leaks suggesting 4K output, persistent characters, and advanced camera controls—key factors that could shift market-implied odds if confirmed, though historical patterns show AI model timelines often slip due to safety evaluations and compute scaling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$43,448Дата окончания
31 мар. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 30, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google DeepMind has yet to officially release Veo 4, its anticipated next-generation AI video generation model, leaving current trader consensus reflecting prolonged delays amid intensifying competition from rivals like Seedance 2.0 and fading OpenAI Sora efforts. Veo 3.1, launched in January 2026, introduced native audio, vertical video support for platforms like YouTube Shorts, and improved prompt adherence, but user feedback highlights limitations in clip length and realism compared to frontier benchmarks. Speculation centers on a potential unveiling at Google I/O on May 18, 2026, with leaks suggesting 4K output, persistent characters, and advanced camera controls—key factors that could shift market-implied odds if confirmed, though historical patterns show AI model timelines often slip due to safety evaluations and compute scaling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы