Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5, which quickly captured the top spot on Artificial Analysis’s Intelligence Index at 61 and multiple Arena coding and agent boards, currently anchors trader sentiment for the year-end #1 AI model market. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol remains a close second in reasoning and math benchmarks, while Google’s Gemini family and xAI’s Grok models trail but retain strong multimodal and agentic positioning. The race stays fluid because frontier labs routinely ship updates that reset leaderboards, and the market reflects trader bets on sustained capability leadership rather than any single benchmark snapshot. Key near-term catalysts include potential new flagship drops from OpenAI or Google before December, alongside continued price-performance gains from open-weight contenders like DeepSeek that could indirectly influence perceived frontier dominance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие компании будут иметь модель искусственного интеллекта №1 к 31 декабря?
Какие компании будут иметь модель искусственного интеллекта №1 к 31 декабря?
$86,086 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
OpenAI
30%
24%
Moonshot
13%
xAI
13%
Meta
12%
ByteDance
10%
Z.ai
8%
DeepSeek
8%
Amazon
8%
Microsoft
8%
Alibaba
7%
Baidu
7%
Meituan
7%
Mistral
3%
$86,086 Объем
OpenAI
$18,441 Объем
30%
$16,612 Объем
24%
Moonshot
$3,823 Объем
13%
xAI
$8,291 Объем
13%
Meta
$12,144 Объем
12%
ByteDance
$2,392 Объем
10%
Z.ai
$2,479 Объем
8%
DeepSeek
$2,941 Объем
8%
Amazon
$2,727 Объем
8%
Microsoft
$3,469 Объем
8%
Alibaba
$2,120 Объем
7%
Baidu
$1,891 Объем
7%
Meituan
$1,986 Объем
7%
Mistral
$6,771 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5, which quickly captured the top spot on Artificial Analysis’s Intelligence Index at 61 and multiple Arena coding and agent boards, currently anchors trader sentiment for the year-end #1 AI model market. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol remains a close second in reasoning and math benchmarks, while Google’s Gemini family and xAI’s Grok models trail but retain strong multimodal and agentic positioning. The race stays fluid because frontier labs routinely ship updates that reset leaderboards, and the market reflects trader bets on sustained capability leadership rather than any single benchmark snapshot. Key near-term catalysts include potential new flagship drops from OpenAI or Google before December, alongside continued price-performance gains from open-weight contenders like DeepSeek that could indirectly influence perceived frontier dominance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Объем
$86,086Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5, which quickly captured the top spot on Artificial Analysis’s Intelligence Index at 61 and multiple Arena coding and agent boards, currently anchors trader sentiment for the year-end #1 AI model market. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol remains a close second in reasoning and math benchmarks, while Google’s Gemini family and xAI’s Grok models trail but retain strong multimodal and agentic positioning. The race stays fluid because frontier labs routinely ship updates that reset leaderboards, and the market reflects trader bets on sustained capability leadership rather than any single benchmark snapshot. Key near-term catalysts include potential new flagship drops from OpenAI or Google before December, alongside continued price-performance gains from open-weight contenders like DeepSeek that could indirectly influence perceived frontier dominance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$86,086Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5, which quickly captured the top spot on Artificial Analysis’s Intelligence Index at 61 and multiple Arena coding and agent boards, currently anchors trader sentiment for the year-end #1 AI model market. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol remains a close second in reasoning and math benchmarks, while Google’s Gemini family and xAI’s Grok models trail but retain strong multimodal and agentic positioning. The race stays fluid because frontier labs routinely ship updates that reset leaderboards, and the market reflects trader bets on sustained capability leadership rather than any single benchmark snapshot. Key near-term catalysts include potential new flagship drops from OpenAI or Google before December, alongside continued price-performance gains from open-weight contenders like DeepSeek that could indirectly influence perceived frontier dominance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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