Trader consensus implies a 78% probability for SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, driven by the exchange's dominance in high-growth aerospace and tech firms—including peers like Rocket Lab and Virgin Galactic—and Elon Musk's track record with Tesla's blockbuster NASDAQ debut. Recent private tender offers in November 2024 valued SpaceX at $350 billion, intensifying IPO speculation for its Starlink unit potentially in 2025, with investment bankers highlighting NASDAQ's superior liquidity for volatile space stocks amid frequent mission milestones like Starship tests. NYSE lags at 10.5%, suited more to legacy industrials, while Other at 9.5% covers direct listings or alternatives. Upcoming Q4 funding rounds or SEC filings could refine these odds, as SpaceX balances NASA contracts with commercialization goals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhich exchange will SpaceX list on?
Which exchange will SpaceX list on?
NASDAQ 78%
NYSE 11%
Other 10%
NASDAQ
78%
NYSE
11%
Other
10%
NASDAQ 78%
NYSE 11%
Other 10%
NASDAQ
78%
NYSE
11%
Other
10%
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus implies a 78% probability for SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, driven by the exchange's dominance in high-growth aerospace and tech firms—including peers like Rocket Lab and Virgin Galactic—and Elon Musk's track record with Tesla's blockbuster NASDAQ debut. Recent private tender offers in November 2024 valued SpaceX at $350 billion, intensifying IPO speculation for its Starlink unit potentially in 2025, with investment bankers highlighting NASDAQ's superior liquidity for volatile space stocks amid frequent mission milestones like Starship tests. NYSE lags at 10.5%, suited more to legacy industrials, while Other at 9.5% covers direct listings or alternatives. Upcoming Q4 funding rounds or SEC filings could refine these odds, as SpaceX balances NASA contracts with commercialization goals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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