The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House on a narrow party-line 218-213 vote in February 2026 but has stalled in the Democratic-controlled Senate. Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% "No" consensus stems from insurmountable filibuster hurdles needing 60 votes for cloture, with Democrats uniformly opposing it as unnecessary voter suppression amid low evidence of non-citizen voting. A recent April 23 amendment bid to attach it to a reconciliation package failed 48-50, underscoring lack of bipartisan support. Realistic shifts would require filibuster reform—rejected by Senate GOP leadership—or a surprise standalone floor vote before the 119th Congress ends in January 2027, both improbable given current whip counts and priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПримет ли Сенат Закон о СПАСЕНИИ Америки (H.R. 7296)?
Примет ли Сенат Закон о СПАСЕНИИ Америки (H.R. 7296)?
Да
<1% вероятность
$49,929 Объем
$49,929 Объем
29 апр. 2026 г.
Да
<1% вероятность
$49,929 Объем
$49,929 Объем
29 апр. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House on a narrow party-line 218-213 vote in February 2026 but has stalled in the Democratic-controlled Senate. Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% "No" consensus stems from insurmountable filibuster hurdles needing 60 votes for cloture, with Democrats uniformly opposing it as unnecessary voter suppression amid low evidence of non-citizen voting. A recent April 23 amendment bid to attach it to a reconciliation package failed 48-50, underscoring lack of bipartisan support. Realistic shifts would require filibuster reform—rejected by Senate GOP leadership—or a surprise standalone floor vote before the 119th Congress ends in January 2027, both improbable given current whip counts and priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Объем
$49,929Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House on a narrow party-line 218-213 vote in February 2026 but has stalled in the Democratic-controlled Senate. Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% "No" consensus stems from insurmountable filibuster hurdles needing 60 votes for cloture, with Democrats uniformly opposing it as unnecessary voter suppression amid low evidence of non-citizen voting. A recent April 23 amendment bid to attach it to a reconciliation package failed 48-50, underscoring lack of bipartisan support. Realistic shifts would require filibuster reform—rejected by Senate GOP leadership—or a surprise standalone floor vote before the 119th Congress ends in January 2027, both improbable given current whip counts and priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$49,929Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, passed the House on a narrow party-line 218-213 vote in February 2026 but has stalled in the Democratic-controlled Senate. Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% "No" consensus stems from insurmountable filibuster hurdles needing 60 votes for cloture, with Democrats uniformly opposing it as unnecessary voter suppression amid low evidence of non-citizen voting. A recent April 23 amendment bid to attach it to a reconciliation package failed 48-50, underscoring lack of bipartisan support. Realistic shifts would require filibuster reform—rejected by Senate GOP leadership—or a surprise standalone floor vote before the 119th Congress ends in January 2027, both improbable given current whip counts and priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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