Scotland's 67% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their superior FIFA ranking (43rd vs. Haiti's 83rd as of April 1), deeper squad with Premier League stars like Andy Robertson and Scott McTominay, and stronger recent international pedigree after qualifying via UEFA playoffs. Narrow 1-0 friendly losses to Japan (March 28) and Ivory Coast (March 31)—both with rotated lineups—exposed attacking bluntness but affirmed defensive solidity, keeping expectations high for the Group C opener at neutral Gillette Stadium. Haiti's heroic CONCACAF triumph (topping qualifiers with a 2-0 Nicaragua win) fuels underdog hope at 15.5%, while the 19% draw reflects low-scoring prep trends and Haiti's resilient counter-attacks, though no major injuries alter the balance two months out.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Scotland's 67% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their superior FIFA ranking (43rd vs. Haiti's 83rd as of April 1), deeper squad with Premier League stars like Andy Robertson and Scott McTominay, and stronger recent international pedigree after qualifying via UEFA playoffs. Narrow 1-0 friendly losses to Japan (March 28) and Ivory Coast (March 31)—both with rotated lineups—exposed attacking bluntness but affirmed defensive solidity, keeping expectations high for the Group C opener at neutral Gillette Stadium. Haiti's heroic CONCACAF triumph (topping qualifiers with a 2-0 Nicaragua win) fuels underdog hope at 15.5%, while the 19% draw reflects low-scoring prep trends and Haiti's resilient counter-attacks, though no major injuries alter the balance two months out.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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