Turkey’s constitution sets President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current term through 2028, with the next presidential election scheduled no later than May of that year and no national vote or formal removal process set before the end of 2026. Erdoğan has publicly stated he plans to step down at term’s end and retire from politics, while continuing to exercise executive authority through policy announcements and diplomatic engagements as recently as June 2026. Unconfirmed reports of health concerns have circulated since early 2026 but lack official verification and have not altered his active role. Opposition calls for snap elections in 2025 produced no procedural changes, leaving no imminent catalysts that would trigger an early exit. Traders price these structural and political factors into the 92.5 percent implied probability that Erdoğan remains in office past December 31, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$443,066 ปริมาณ
$443,066 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
รับ 3.25%
$443,066 ปริมาณ
$443,066 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
รับ 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s constitution sets President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current term through 2028, with the next presidential election scheduled no later than May of that year and no national vote or formal removal process set before the end of 2026. Erdoğan has publicly stated he plans to step down at term’s end and retire from politics, while continuing to exercise executive authority through policy announcements and diplomatic engagements as recently as June 2026. Unconfirmed reports of health concerns have circulated since early 2026 but lack official verification and have not altered his active role. Opposition calls for snap elections in 2025 produced no procedural changes, leaving no imminent catalysts that would trigger an early exit. Traders price these structural and political factors into the 92.5 percent implied probability that Erdoğan remains in office past December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$443,066วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkey’s constitution sets President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current term through 2028, with the next presidential election scheduled no later than May of that year and no national vote or formal removal process set before the end of 2026. Erdoğan has publicly stated he plans to step down at term’s end and retire from politics, while continuing to exercise executive authority through policy announcements and diplomatic engagements as recently as June 2026. Unconfirmed reports of health concerns have circulated since early 2026 but lack official verification and have not altered his active role. Opposition calls for snap elections in 2025 produced no procedural changes, leaving no imminent catalysts that would trigger an early exit. Traders price these structural and political factors into the 92.5 percent implied probability that Erdoğan remains in office past December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$443,066วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkey’s constitution sets President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current term through 2028, with the next presidential election scheduled no later than May of that year and no national vote or formal removal process set before the end of 2026. Erdoğan has publicly stated he plans to step down at term’s end and retire from politics, while continuing to exercise executive authority through policy announcements and diplomatic engagements as recently as June 2026. Unconfirmed reports of health concerns have circulated since early 2026 but lack official verification and have not altered his active role. Opposition calls for snap elections in 2025 produced no procedural changes, leaving no imminent catalysts that would trigger an early exit. Traders price these structural and political factors into the 92.5 percent implied probability that Erdoğan remains in office past December 31, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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