**Federal gas tax suspension proposals advanced in May 2026 after U.S. and Israeli operations against Iran triggered sharp gasoline price increases exceeding $1.50 per gallon since February, amid Persian Gulf supply disruptions.** President Trump endorsed a temporary pause of the 18.4-cent excise tax on May 11, prompting Republican legislation such as Sen. Josh Hawley’s 90-day bill with an optional extension and Democratic measures extending relief through October. No prior Congress has enacted a federal suspension since the Highway Trust Fund’s 1956 creation, citing revenue losses estimated at $10–17 billion over several months and risks to infrastructure funding. As of September 2026, bills remain stalled without passage, with trader-implied probabilities reflecting legislative gridlock, differing views on backfilling the trust fund from general revenue, and the requirement for bicameral approval plus presidential signature. Surface transportation deadlines near September 30 could still influence momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$38,058 ปริมาณ
November 2
3%
$38,058 ปริมาณ
November 2
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**Federal gas tax suspension proposals advanced in May 2026 after U.S. and Israeli operations against Iran triggered sharp gasoline price increases exceeding $1.50 per gallon since February, amid Persian Gulf supply disruptions.** President Trump endorsed a temporary pause of the 18.4-cent excise tax on May 11, prompting Republican legislation such as Sen. Josh Hawley’s 90-day bill with an optional extension and Democratic measures extending relief through October. No prior Congress has enacted a federal suspension since the Highway Trust Fund’s 1956 creation, citing revenue losses estimated at $10–17 billion over several months and risks to infrastructure funding. As of September 2026, bills remain stalled without passage, with trader-implied probabilities reflecting legislative gridlock, differing views on backfilling the trust fund from general revenue, and the requirement for bicameral approval plus presidential signature. Surface transportation deadlines near September 30 could still influence momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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