**Incumbent Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's (R) re-election bid in Florida's 13th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward a 68% implied probability for Republican victory, anchored by the district's Republican-leaning fundamentals in Pinellas County and her prior flip of the seat in 2022 followed by retention in 2024.** Strong GOP incumbency advantages and fundraising position Luna favorably ahead of the August 18 closed primary and November 3 general election. Democrats view FL-13 as a prime pickup opportunity, with recent entrants like retired Brig. Gen. Leela Gray—who raised $561,000 shortly after launching in February 2026—and challengers Earle Ford and Reggie Paros fragmenting their primary field. A Tampa Bay Times analysis on April 16 detailed first-quarter Democratic fundraising, yet traders price competitive dynamics without major polling shifts tipping the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFL-13 House Election Winner
FL-13 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
30%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$145 ปริมาณ
71%
Democratic Party
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's (R) re-election bid in Florida's 13th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward a 68% implied probability for Republican victory, anchored by the district's Republican-leaning fundamentals in Pinellas County and her prior flip of the seat in 2022 followed by retention in 2024.** Strong GOP incumbency advantages and fundraising position Luna favorably ahead of the August 18 closed primary and November 3 general election. Democrats view FL-13 as a prime pickup opportunity, with recent entrants like retired Brig. Gen. Leela Gray—who raised $561,000 shortly after launching in February 2026—and challengers Earle Ford and Reggie Paros fragmenting their primary field. A Tampa Bay Times analysis on April 16 detailed first-quarter Democratic fundraising, yet traders price competitive dynamics without major polling shifts tipping the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$145วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's (R) re-election bid in Florida's 13th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward a 68% implied probability for Republican victory, anchored by the district's Republican-leaning fundamentals in Pinellas County and her prior flip of the seat in 2022 followed by retention in 2024.** Strong GOP incumbency advantages and fundraising position Luna favorably ahead of the August 18 closed primary and November 3 general election. Democrats view FL-13 as a prime pickup opportunity, with recent entrants like retired Brig. Gen. Leela Gray—who raised $561,000 shortly after launching in February 2026—and challengers Earle Ford and Reggie Paros fragmenting their primary field. A Tampa Bay Times analysis on April 16 detailed first-quarter Democratic fundraising, yet traders price competitive dynamics without major polling shifts tipping the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$145วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Rep. Anna Paulina Luna's (R) re-election bid in Florida's 13th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward a 68% implied probability for Republican victory, anchored by the district's Republican-leaning fundamentals in Pinellas County and her prior flip of the seat in 2022 followed by retention in 2024.** Strong GOP incumbency advantages and fundraising position Luna favorably ahead of the August 18 closed primary and November 3 general election. Democrats view FL-13 as a prime pickup opportunity, with recent entrants like retired Brig. Gen. Leela Gray—who raised $561,000 shortly after launching in February 2026—and challengers Earle Ford and Reggie Paros fragmenting their primary field. A Tampa Bay Times analysis on April 16 detailed first-quarter Democratic fundraising, yet traders price competitive dynamics without major polling shifts tipping the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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