**Texas's 13th Congressional District remains a safe Republican stronghold**, with trader consensus pricing the GOP at 91.5% following incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's easy win in the March 3 Republican primary over challenger Chasity Wedgeworth, solidifying his nomination in this Panhandle-based seat with a partisan lean exceeding R+25. Democrat Mark Nair advanced from the primary, but the district's conservative voter base, Jackson's 73% 2024 general election margin, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising edge for Democrats explain the lopsided odds. While late-breaking scandals, legal issues for Jackson, a massive national Democratic wave, or anomalous turnout in battleground areas could theoretically shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, historical base rates for such upsets in deep-red districts are near zero.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-13 House Election Winner
TX-13 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,391 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$7,075 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Texas's 13th Congressional District remains a safe Republican stronghold**, with trader consensus pricing the GOP at 91.5% following incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's easy win in the March 3 Republican primary over challenger Chasity Wedgeworth, solidifying his nomination in this Panhandle-based seat with a partisan lean exceeding R+25. Democrat Mark Nair advanced from the primary, but the district's conservative voter base, Jackson's 73% 2024 general election margin, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising edge for Democrats explain the lopsided odds. While late-breaking scandals, legal issues for Jackson, a massive national Democratic wave, or anomalous turnout in battleground areas could theoretically shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, historical base rates for such upsets in deep-red districts are near zero.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,466วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Texas's 13th Congressional District remains a safe Republican stronghold**, with trader consensus pricing the GOP at 91.5% following incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's easy win in the March 3 Republican primary over challenger Chasity Wedgeworth, solidifying his nomination in this Panhandle-based seat with a partisan lean exceeding R+25. Democrat Mark Nair advanced from the primary, but the district's conservative voter base, Jackson's 73% 2024 general election margin, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising edge for Democrats explain the lopsided odds. While late-breaking scandals, legal issues for Jackson, a massive national Democratic wave, or anomalous turnout in battleground areas could theoretically shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, historical base rates for such upsets in deep-red districts are near zero.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,466วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Texas's 13th Congressional District remains a safe Republican stronghold**, with trader consensus pricing the GOP at 91.5% following incumbent Rep. Ronny Jackson's easy win in the March 3 Republican primary over challenger Chasity Wedgeworth, solidifying his nomination in this Panhandle-based seat with a partisan lean exceeding R+25. Democrat Mark Nair advanced from the primary, but the district's conservative voter base, Jackson's 73% 2024 general election margin, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising edge for Democrats explain the lopsided odds. While late-breaking scandals, legal issues for Jackson, a massive national Democratic wave, or anomalous turnout in battleground areas could theoretically shift dynamics before the November 3 general election, historical base rates for such upsets in deep-red districts are near zero.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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