The Democratic Party's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the TX-33 House race reflects the district's Solid D rating from Cook Political Report, rooted in its urban Dallas-Fort Worth demographics and historical performance favoring Democrats despite mid-decade redistricting. Incumbent Marc Veasey's December 2025 retirement opened a competitive March 3 Democratic primary, where Colin Allred and Rep. Julie Johnson advanced to the May 26 runoff—Allred recently outraising Johnson amid strong fundraising. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie, victor in a low-turnout primary, lacks comparable resources or name recognition. A GOP upset would require a Democratic nominee scandal, depressed turnout, or national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-33 House Election Winner
TX-33 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,491 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$77 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the TX-33 House race reflects the district's Solid D rating from Cook Political Report, rooted in its urban Dallas-Fort Worth demographics and historical performance favoring Democrats despite mid-decade redistricting. Incumbent Marc Veasey's December 2025 retirement opened a competitive March 3 Democratic primary, where Colin Allred and Rep. Julie Johnson advanced to the May 26 runoff—Allred recently outraising Johnson amid strong fundraising. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie, victor in a low-turnout primary, lacks comparable resources or name recognition. A GOP upset would require a Democratic nominee scandal, depressed turnout, or national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,568วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the TX-33 House race reflects the district's Solid D rating from Cook Political Report, rooted in its urban Dallas-Fort Worth demographics and historical performance favoring Democrats despite mid-decade redistricting. Incumbent Marc Veasey's December 2025 retirement opened a competitive March 3 Democratic primary, where Colin Allred and Rep. Julie Johnson advanced to the May 26 runoff—Allred recently outraising Johnson amid strong fundraising. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie, victor in a low-turnout primary, lacks comparable resources or name recognition. A GOP upset would require a Democratic nominee scandal, depressed turnout, or national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,568วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the TX-33 House race reflects the district's Solid D rating from Cook Political Report, rooted in its urban Dallas-Fort Worth demographics and historical performance favoring Democrats despite mid-decade redistricting. Incumbent Marc Veasey's December 2025 retirement opened a competitive March 3 Democratic primary, where Colin Allred and Rep. Julie Johnson advanced to the May 26 runoff—Allred recently outraising Johnson amid strong fundraising. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie, victor in a low-turnout primary, lacks comparable resources or name recognition. A GOP upset would require a Democratic nominee scandal, depressed turnout, or national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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