Redistricting approved by the Texas Legislature and signed into law in August 2025 fundamentally altered TX-32 by shifting its partisan baseline from strongly Democratic to R+8 or more, incorporating conservative East Texas areas and prompting the Democratic incumbent to seek another seat. This structural change positioned Republicans as heavy favorites in the November 2026 general election. Jace Yarbrough secured the GOP nomination after winning the March primary and advancing unopposed following his opponent's withdrawal, while Dan Barrios emerged as the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the altered district composition, historical voting patterns, and limited Democratic path to victory. The 80% Republican consensus in trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though general election turnout and any late developments could still influence the final margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$29,814 ปริมาณ
$29,814 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
20%
$29,814 ปริมาณ
$29,814 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$27,358 ปริมาณ
80%
Democratic Party
$2,456 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Texas Legislature and signed into law in August 2025 fundamentally altered TX-32 by shifting its partisan baseline from strongly Democratic to R+8 or more, incorporating conservative East Texas areas and prompting the Democratic incumbent to seek another seat. This structural change positioned Republicans as heavy favorites in the November 2026 general election. Jace Yarbrough secured the GOP nomination after winning the March primary and advancing unopposed following his opponent's withdrawal, while Dan Barrios emerged as the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the altered district composition, historical voting patterns, and limited Democratic path to victory. The 80% Republican consensus in trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though general election turnout and any late developments could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,814วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Texas Legislature and signed into law in August 2025 fundamentally altered TX-32 by shifting its partisan baseline from strongly Democratic to R+8 or more, incorporating conservative East Texas areas and prompting the Democratic incumbent to seek another seat. This structural change positioned Republicans as heavy favorites in the November 2026 general election. Jace Yarbrough secured the GOP nomination after winning the March primary and advancing unopposed following his opponent's withdrawal, while Dan Barrios emerged as the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the altered district composition, historical voting patterns, and limited Democratic path to victory. The 80% Republican consensus in trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though general election turnout and any late developments could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,814วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by the Texas Legislature and signed into law in August 2025 fundamentally altered TX-32 by shifting its partisan baseline from strongly Democratic to R+8 or more, incorporating conservative East Texas areas and prompting the Democratic incumbent to seek another seat. This structural change positioned Republicans as heavy favorites in the November 2026 general election. Jace Yarbrough secured the GOP nomination after winning the March primary and advancing unopposed following his opponent's withdrawal, while Dan Barrios emerged as the Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the altered district composition, historical voting patterns, and limited Democratic path to victory. The 80% Republican consensus in trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though general election turnout and any late developments could still influence the final margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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