Redistricting in August 2025 transformed Texas's 32nd Congressional District into a safely Republican seat, with Donald Trump carrying it 56-57% in 2024, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at heavy favorite status against Democrats. Jace Yarbrough secured the GOP nomination after leading the March 3 primary with 49% and his runoff opponent Ryan Binkley withdrawing on March 17, bolstered by a Trump endorsement and superior fundraising ($612,000 raised vs. Democrat Dan Barrios's $67,000 as of late March). No general election polls have emerged post-primaries, but ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball as Solid/Safe Republican, alongside GOP primary turnout exceeding Democrats', underpin the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$25,339 ปริมาณ
$25,339 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
77%
Democratic Party
19%
$25,339 ปริมาณ
$25,339 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$25,181 ปริมาณ
77%
Democratic Party
$158 ปริมาณ
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in August 2025 transformed Texas's 32nd Congressional District into a safely Republican seat, with Donald Trump carrying it 56-57% in 2024, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at heavy favorite status against Democrats. Jace Yarbrough secured the GOP nomination after leading the March 3 primary with 49% and his runoff opponent Ryan Binkley withdrawing on March 17, bolstered by a Trump endorsement and superior fundraising ($612,000 raised vs. Democrat Dan Barrios's $67,000 as of late March). No general election polls have emerged post-primaries, but ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball as Solid/Safe Republican, alongside GOP primary turnout exceeding Democrats', underpin the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,339วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in August 2025 transformed Texas's 32nd Congressional District into a safely Republican seat, with Donald Trump carrying it 56-57% in 2024, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at heavy favorite status against Democrats. Jace Yarbrough secured the GOP nomination after leading the March 3 primary with 49% and his runoff opponent Ryan Binkley withdrawing on March 17, bolstered by a Trump endorsement and superior fundraising ($612,000 raised vs. Democrat Dan Barrios's $67,000 as of late March). No general election polls have emerged post-primaries, but ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball as Solid/Safe Republican, alongside GOP primary turnout exceeding Democrats', underpin the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$25,339วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting in August 2025 transformed Texas's 32nd Congressional District into a safely Republican seat, with Donald Trump carrying it 56-57% in 2024, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at heavy favorite status against Democrats. Jace Yarbrough secured the GOP nomination after leading the March 3 primary with 49% and his runoff opponent Ryan Binkley withdrawing on March 17, bolstered by a Trump endorsement and superior fundraising ($612,000 raised vs. Democrat Dan Barrios's $67,000 as of late March). No general election polls have emerged post-primaries, but ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball as Solid/Safe Republican, alongside GOP primary turnout exceeding Democrats', underpin the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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