Incumbent U.S. Rep. Austin Scott commands 91% trader consensus in the GA-08 Republican primary market ahead of the May 19, 2026, contest, driven by his long tenure since 2011, unopposed primaries in 2022 and 2024, and dominant fundraising with over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Challenger Vinson Watkins trails at 6% implied probability after withdrawing from the race per recent reports, reflecting his minimal resources and prior fringe showing in the 2024 Democratic primary despite Republican affiliation. The R+15 district's safe Republican lean reinforces Scott's path-to-victory. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, health event, or procedural ballot dispute, though filing deadlines limit new entrants.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGA-08 Republican Primary Winner
GA-08 Republican Primary Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
Austin Scott
91%
Vinson Watkins
6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 19, 2026
Austin Scott
$2,717 ปริมาณ
91%
Vinson Watkins
$843 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Austin Scott commands 91% trader consensus in the GA-08 Republican primary market ahead of the May 19, 2026, contest, driven by his long tenure since 2011, unopposed primaries in 2022 and 2024, and dominant fundraising with over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Challenger Vinson Watkins trails at 6% implied probability after withdrawing from the race per recent reports, reflecting his minimal resources and prior fringe showing in the 2024 Democratic primary despite Republican affiliation. The R+15 district's safe Republican lean reinforces Scott's path-to-victory. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, health event, or procedural ballot dispute, though filing deadlines limit new entrants.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 26, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,559วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Austin Scott commands 91% trader consensus in the GA-08 Republican primary market ahead of the May 19, 2026, contest, driven by his long tenure since 2011, unopposed primaries in 2022 and 2024, and dominant fundraising with over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Challenger Vinson Watkins trails at 6% implied probability after withdrawing from the race per recent reports, reflecting his minimal resources and prior fringe showing in the 2024 Democratic primary despite Republican affiliation. The R+15 district's safe Republican lean reinforces Scott's path-to-victory. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, health event, or procedural ballot dispute, though filing deadlines limit new entrants.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,559วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Austin Scott commands 91% trader consensus in the GA-08 Republican primary market ahead of the May 19, 2026, contest, driven by his long tenure since 2011, unopposed primaries in 2022 and 2024, and dominant fundraising with over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late 2025. Challenger Vinson Watkins trails at 6% implied probability after withdrawing from the race per recent reports, reflecting his minimal resources and prior fringe showing in the 2024 Democratic primary despite Republican affiliation. The R+15 district's safe Republican lean reinforces Scott's path-to-victory. Realistic challenges include a late scandal, health event, or procedural ballot dispute, though filing deadlines limit new entrants.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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